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Re:オークスについて

aoyagilogo
桜花賞での惜敗、そして桜花賞の1着、3着馬がNHKマイルで1、2着となれば、シーザリオが一本かぶりとなるのは当然ですね。
桜花賞のゴール前をチェックするとオークスの勝ち馬が見えてくるといいますが、今年の桜花賞もそうなのではないでしょうか。
ラインクラフトに完璧に乗られた結果が前走の頭差だったのではないでしょうか。
桜花賞の本命にしたときも書きましたが、ダービーの伏兵になるであろうアドマイヤフジやダンスインザモアを相手に勝利してきた馬です。
トライアルを見る限り、この馬を脅かせる馬が見当たりません。
この馬の2着争いと見ます。

2、3番人気になるであろうディアデラノデビアとエアメサイヤに対する評価は治郎丸さんと全く一緒ですが、この2頭以外で面白いの存在がエイシンテンダーだと思います。
桜花賞では流れにのれず後方からの競馬となり6着に敗れてしまいましたが、元来先行力のある馬です。
距離面に不安はありますが、昨年のオークスからももわかる通り、スタミナが要求される流れにはなりません。
この馬の本来の先行力を活かせば、十分に巻き返しが可能だと思います。
さらにエリモファイナルという素質馬にも期待をしているのですが、いずれにせよ、過去の戦績からもわかる通り2着争いは大混戦です。

1番人気はかなり信頼できる一方で、2番人気、3番人気の馬はかなり危険ですね。

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