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Re:Re:NHKマイルカップについて

jiromarulogo
シルクトゥルーパーとは随分思い切りましたね。
明日は良馬場で行われそうなので、ちょっと厳しいかなという気はしますが。
私は、もし雨が降れば、セイウン二ムカウを買おうかと考えていました。
前走のニュージーランドTは明らかに不利が重なって、レースをしていません。
今年に入ってからキッチリと調教をこなせるようになり、状態そのものはアップしています。
天皇賞春を買って勢いのある安藤勝己騎手が乗るのも魅力的です。
しかし、良馬場での力通りの決着となると、気性的な問題も含めて、勝つのは難しいかなと判断しました。

本命◎はラインクラフトか、インプレッションのどちらかで考えています。
もちろん、いつも通り単勝で勝負します。

ラインクラフトは、前述したように、このメンバーでは一枚力が上だと考えています。
折り合いも付くタイプですし、距離も2000mくらいまでなら十分にもつはずです。
確かに、牡馬との初対戦や初めての東京競馬場と不安材料はありますが、この馬のアスリートとしての能力を考えると、さほど問題にはならないでしょう。
流れに乗って、直線でじっくりと追い出せば結果はついてくるはずです。

インプレッションは脅威のサンデーサイレンス産駒で、大外枠を引いての変わり身が不気味です。
前走は展開に恵まれたにもかかわらずイヤダイヤダを捕らえ切れませんでしたが、この馬の走法からは東京のマイル戦の方が合っているはずです。
もちろん前走から成長していることが条件ですが、6月4日と生まれも遅いので、他馬よりも成長が見込めるかもしれません。
ラインクラフトを負かすとすれば、この馬でしょう。

その他の馬の評価は、青柳さんとほぼ同じです。
アイルラヴァゲインは、正直大物感に欠けます。
ビッグプラネットは幼さが先行していて、よほど楽に逃がしてもらえないと苦しいでしょう。

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ラインクラフト、力は上でも短距離馬のイメージがあり、迷っていましたが、治郎丸さんの
「2000mくらいまでなら十分にもつはずです。」のコメントがすごくヒントになりました。
おかげさまで的中させることができました。
ありがとうございました。

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