« スプリンターズSについて | Main | Re:Re:スプリンターズSについて »

Re:スプリンターズSについて

aoyagilogo
サイレントウィトネスは17連勝の後、ここ2戦において2着、3着と成績的に落ちています。
しかし、ともにベストではないマイル戦であり、また勝ち馬と同時計で走っていることは、このレースに向け逆に高い評価を与えられるのではないでしょうか。
テイエムチュラサン、カルストンライトオ、あるいはギャラントアローあたりの参戦で前半32秒台は必至ですし、マイルで息を入れる競馬を経験したことは必ずプラスになると思います。
3番手あたりで競馬を進めることがこの馬にとって理想だと思いますが、あとは鞍上がどう乗るか。
安田記念での敗戦後、馬主が「この馬は逃げてスピードで押し切ったほうがいい」というコメントをしています。
これは安田記念時だけの話をしているのか、全般的な話をしているのかわかりませんが、ハナにこだわらり過ぎないことを願います。
今回のレースにおいて、ここだけが気になります。

日本の大将格デュランダルも参戦しますね。
確かに昨年の高松宮杯、スプリンターズSで負けていますが、それぞれ小回り、不良馬場と、末脚を活かすこの馬には必ずしも有利な条件でなかったのは事実です。
この馬について、私は元来、鉄砲駆けするタイプだと思っています。
むしろ私が気になるのは距離です。
この馬のベストはマイルであり、スプリント戦ではありません。
一昨年のスプリンターズSを勝っていますが、そのときの2着は状態の落ち始めていたビリーヴでしたし、今回サイレントウィットネスのような超一流スプリンターと戦ったことがないと思います。
今までのスプリント戦は相手に恵まれていた部分があると思います。
ただし、末脚の切れについては誰もが認める通り現役No.1です。
先述したようにサイレントウィットネスが鼻にこだわり過ぎると、この馬の末脚が炸裂する可能性大です。
個人的にはここで好戦して、マイルCSではなく、天皇賞秋あたりにも参戦してもらいたいと思っています。
いずれにせよ、サイレントウィットネスの最大のライバルであることは間違いありません。

ケープオブグッドホープは堅実な馬ですね。
無事是名馬ではありませんが、順調に安定して使われた結果がG1 2勝に繋がったのだと思います。
しかし、戦績を見てもわかる通り、サイレントウィットネスより明らかに力が一枚下です。

2着争いの穴として、シルキーラグーン、タマモホットプレイ、アイルラヴァゲインあたりが面白そうですが、これらの馬たちについてはまた次回に。

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» 起床時間 6:10 (9/28) サイレントウィットネス(スプリンターズS) [●まじで競馬に独り言●]
おはようございます。 今週は秋のGI開幕を告げる、スプリンターズS(GI)ですね。 おそらく1番人気は香港の短距離王・サイレントウィットネスになるでしょう。550Kgを超える雄大な馬体に、デビュー17戦17勝の実績。さらに、安田記念で見せた脅威の粘り腰....... [Read More]

Tracked on September 28, 2005 at 06:24 AM

» 中央競馬 アンラッキー作戦検証 [ガリレオムーン]
今回の投稿は、馬券作戦の「幹」となる〔アンラッキー〕作戦の検証です。 秋の競馬が始まって、3週が経ちました。 成績を見直してみると、作戦の良し悪しがよくわかります。 中でも好成績は〔アンラッキー〕作戦です。しっかり復習して今後に備えたいと思います。 秋競馬からこのブログを見てくれている人も多いようですから、もう一度作戦について簡単な説明をさせてもらいます。 新馬戦や一部の未勝利戦を除いて�... [Read More]

Tracked on September 28, 2005 at 07:26 AM

» G1 スプリンターズS [ワイド馬券1点勝負!(3連複・3連単の軸になる)]
今週から待ちに待ったG1がはじまりますね。 夏競馬絶不調・会社の倒産など、此処の所全くもっていい所なし。 秋のG1競馬第一戦の本命馬には、 カルストンライトオを抜擢する。 前走1番人気ながら敗退し、人気が落ちる事を願っていたが、 サイレントウィ....... [Read More]

Tracked on September 29, 2005 at 12:14 AM

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