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休み明けのちょっとした差が致命傷に

jiromarulogo
各馬、最終追い切りを終え、枠順も確定しました。
どの馬も、さすがオープン馬という動きで、目に見える限りの体調は万全です。
枠順についても、基本的には外枠が不利ですが、フルゲートの多頭数を考えると、却って有利に働くかもしれません。
正直な感想として、予想がますます難解になりましたね。
どの馬からも狙えそうで、展開やレースのちょっとした綾で勝ち馬が変わってくるでしょう。

半信半疑としたゼンノロブロイは、今回は見送るつもりです。
昨年とはメンバーのレベルも違いますし、何と言っても海外遠征明けのブッツケが気になります。
追い切りを見るかぎり仕上がりに不安はありませんが、今回は厳しいレースになりそうです。
極限のスピードとスタミナを求められるレースになった時、どうしても休み明けの不利は避けられないでしょう。
最後のちょっとした詰め、クビ、1馬身くらいの差が致命傷となってしまいます。

もちろん、それは他の休み明けの馬にも当てはまることです。
この理由で、スズカマンボ、アサクサデンエン、タップダンスシチー、ハーツクライらの休み明けで臨んでくる馬は消します。

女傑スウィープトウショウは、毎日王冠を叩いて上昇が見込めそうです。
ただ、この中間、気難しさを見せているのが気がかりです。
宝塚記念での激走からの回復には、もう少し時間がかかるかもしれませんね。
稀に見る肉体的に強い牝馬ですが、今回に限っては、危険な人気馬でしょう。


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