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Re:Re:秋華賞について

jiromarulogo
そうですね、今年は夏の上がり馬が見当たりません。
あえて挙げるとすれば、1000万条件を古馬相手に快勝したニシノナースコールに
なるのでしょうか。
とはいえ、前走はハマッタ感もあり、今回も同じ脚が使えるとは思えません。
この馬は牝馬特有の繊細すぎる部分があるようにも見受けられ、こういった馬は得てして本番では末脚不発の凡走をしてしまうタイプです。

こうなると、ますますラインクラフトとエアメサイヤの争いになってきます。
この2頭の取捨については、現時点ではエアメサイヤを消そうと考えてます。
なぜなら、まずこの馬にとっては、終始息のつけないラップで流れる秋華賞のようなレースが合っていないからです。
この馬には、道中ゆったりと行って、最後の瞬発力で勝負するレースの方が向いているのではないでしょうか。
前走の阪神2000mは快勝しましたが、今回は京都2000m(内回り)に変わ
り、求められる要素が違ってきますから。

さらに、エアメサイヤの体調が問題です。
前走のローズSは、休み明けにもかかわらず最高の仕上がりでした。
しかし、もちろん上積みは望めないですし、どちらかというと反動が心配です。
パドック写真をみても、馬体に前走ほどの張りがありません。
母のエアデジャヴーも、このような形で凡走してしまった記憶があります。

ラインクラフトは、前走のローズSでは苦しがって引っ掛かってしまいました。
春の激走の疲れを癒すのには、もう少し時間が必要だったようです。
ただし、今回は体調もアップしてくるはずで、あれほどに行きたがることはないでしょう。
2000mの距離は全くもって心配する必要はありません。
一介のスピード馬ではありませんし、レースで器用に立ち回ることもできます。
G1を2勝している実力はダテではありません。
最終追い切りで、流れるようなフォームで走っていれば、この馬で決まりでしょう。

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» 中央競馬 秋華賞について [ガリレオムーン]
今回は、今週末の秋華賞について書いてみます。 皆さんのブログには、データなどを中心とした貴重な意見が沢山書かれています。他のブログのレベルの高さには、何時も感心してしまいます。 馬の実績・馬格・指数などで馬券を組み立てる人は、すでに決まっているでしょうし、調教の良し悪しで馬券を組み立てる事が出来る人は、明日軸馬が決まるのでしょう。                      �... [Read More]

Tracked on October 13, 2005 at 12:19 AM

» 先週の競馬回顧と今週の重賞狙い馬 [競馬に勝って、ブルーマンデー、さようなら。]
先週、狙った京都6Rは、1、2、4着。 京都の芝は、サンデーサイレンス系しか来ないような馬場。 4着のキャプテンベガは、出遅れ、進路が狭くなり、ふらつき、 レースにならなかった。 武豊なら、3着までにはもって来てくれるだろうと思い、馬連より 3連複を選んだが、裏...... [Read More]

Tracked on October 13, 2005 at 06:02 AM

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