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や、やばい-JCダート-

aoyagilogo
や、やばい。
予想が被ってしまいました。
私も本命をサカラートに打ちたいと思っています。
二人の共通している評価は、前走がこの馬の実力ではない、左回りがいい、そして鞍上が魅力的だということでしょうか。
とにかく、前々走まで3連勝しているように、本格化した今であれば昨年の王者タイムパラドックス、そしてカネヒキリとも互角に戦えると思います。
もし前走で結果を出していたら、それこそカネヒキリと人気を2分していたかも知れません。
問題は折り合いだけですが、それもパワーのある外人騎手であれば問題ないでしょう。
それほど人気にはならないでしょうし、単勝で勝負したいと思います。

カネヒキリにもチャンスはあります。
体調面も問題ないですし、スタート時点に芝のある東京1600mよりは、今回の条件は間違いなくプラスです。
あっさり勝つこともあると思いますが、一方で今回の圧倒的な人気に必ず応えられるほどの力があるかというと、Noだと思います。
もちろん、あっさり勝つかも知れませんが、大敗する可能性すらあると思っています。

当初、タイムパラドックスに本命を打つつもりでいました。
しかしながら、年齢的に昨年以上の状態を望むことは厳しいと思い、今回はサカラートを選びました。
ただ、実績上位なのは確かですし、東京コースであれば、サカラートより強いかも知れません。
また海外から速そうな馬たちも参戦してきましたし、乱ペースになれば、この馬の脚が炸裂する可能性は大です。
日本のG1にめっぽう強いペリエの手綱さばきにも注目ですね
当日、治郎丸さんと競馬場へ行きますが、当日の気配次第ではサカラートではなく、こちらの馬を買うかも知れません。

外国馬の評価は難しいですね。
私はタップディよりラヴァマンを高く評価をしていますが、競馬をみていないのでなんともいえないですね。
ただ、日本に来てからかなり乗り込んでいるようですし、この馬にあっさりもっていかれることもあり得ない話ではありません。
昨年、タイムパラドックスとトータルインパクトのどちらを買うか迷い、結局痛い目を見てしまったので、今回は日本の馬を本命にしようと思っていますが、怖い存在であることは確かです。

まだ多少なりとも迷いがありますが、サカラートの単勝で勝負したいと思っています。


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