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欧州年度代表馬ウィジャボードで勝負

aoyagilogo
うーん、難しい。
アルカセットとは、なんなか面白いところに目をつけましたね。
2400mは9戦4勝、2着5回と100%の連帯率が示す通り、距離もベストだと思いますし、欧州の重い馬場で好走していますが、陣営も速い馬場にこそ適正があると判断したからこそ、陣営も参戦を決意したのでしょう。
しかしながら、 いまま走ってきた馬場より、トータルの時計で10秒も速い馬場で、いきなり好走できるのか、、、過去の経験から、私はかなり難しいと判断しています。

本命をウィジャボードに打ちたいと思います。
確かに昨年ほどの勢いはありませんが、今年あまり使っていない分、フレッシュな状態にあるのではないでしょうか。
ウィジャボードとアルカセット陣営でデットーリを取り合ったという話も聞きましたが、代わりにファロンが乗るのであれば、問題ないでしょう。
昨年の凱旋門賞で2分25秒台のタイムで3着に好走していますし、軽い馬場に対する適性も外国馬の中では一番だと思っています。
日本馬の代表が今年牝馬に2度負けたゼンノロブロイですし、また昨年の欧州年度代表馬に選ばれた馬ですから、牝馬だからと言って、なんら臆することはないでしょう。
この馬の単勝で勝負したいと思います。

この馬とどちらを本命に打つのか迷ったが、ハーツクライ。
展開に左右されますし、また勝ちきれるほどの力があるのか、という疑問もありますが、今回ペースが速くなりそうなのはいいですね。
おそらく、この馬がG1を取れるとしたら、今年のこのレースしかないと思います。
そう一世一代のはまりに期待してみる手もあるのではないでしょうか。
ちょっと人気になりすぎですけど。

ゼンノロブロイにとって距離、コースがベストですし、陣営もかなり仕上げてきていると思います。
確かに昨年秋と今年の勢いの違いをメンタル面に委ねたくなりますが、ただ、運のないレースが続いているのも確かです。
そもそも昨年の相手が弱かっただけなのでは?と思いませんか。
天皇賞秋の2着、3着が牝馬、ジャパンCの2着がコスモバルク、そして有馬記念の2着が休み明けのタップダンスシチーと。
今考えると、3連勝してもおかしくない相手ですよね。
燃え尽きたと考えるのは早計かも知れません。

バゴも面白いかも知れません。
勢いがなくなったとはいえ、堅実さは目を見張るものがありますし、馬場適性もあります。
過去来日した凱旋門賞馬では、一番日本の馬場に適正があるように思えます。
今回が引退レースとなるようが、もう他に使うレースがない分、思い切った仕上げもできますね。

ウィジャボードの単勝で勝負したいと思いますが、ジャパンカップダート以上に難しいレースですね。


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