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どんなに強くても追い込み馬は他力本願であるという持論

aoyagilogo
そこにオグリキャップが入っていないと、オールドファンに怒られますよ。
ただ、デュランダルはすでに歴代の猛者に勝るとも劣らないほどの名マイラーあることは、私も否定しません。
そのデュランダルですが、おっしゃる通り、この馬にはペースというものが関係ありません。
全体の流れがハイペース、スローペースに関わらず、3コーナまで同じペースで後方から競馬を進め、4コーナあたりで徐々に進出、そして最後の直線で他馬を一掃。
本当に爽快な競馬を見せてくれますね。
もし、この馬を負かせるとしたら、この馬以上にスピードのある馬でしょう。
スプリンターズSのサイレントウィットネスがいい例です。
この馬はデュランダルがどんな脚を使っても届かない走破タイムで駆けたため、勝てたのだと思います。
いくらペースに関係なく末脚を繰り出すとは言え、その上がり時計には限界があります。
どんなに強くても追い込み馬は他力本願である、、、というのが、私の持論ですが、ディープインパクトの強さのせいでその持論を揺らいでしまっていますが、、、。
とにかく、同じ競馬をしてもデュランダルには勝てません。
勝つのであれば、先行し、経済コースを上手く立ち回れる馬しかいません。

その候補としてあげるとしたら、牝馬2騎、ラインクラフトとダンスインザムードでしょうか。
ラインクラフトが先週のエリザベス女王杯ではなく距離適正からこちらを選んだのは、賢明な選択でしょう。
治朗丸さんは馬に苦しいところがあるから、前2走でひっかかった(これも一種の持論でしょう)と見ているようですが、私はやはり距離、ペース、そして歓声の大きな位置からスタートしたところにあったのだと思います。
マイルであればもっとスムーズな競馬ができると思いますし、能力的にも十分通用するでしょう。
しかしながら、やはり3歳牝馬が古馬に混じってG1を勝つのが至難であることは、過去の結果が証明しています。
シンコウライブラリィがダイタクヘリオスに、そして去年もダンスインザムードがデュランダルに子ども扱いされたのも記憶に新しいのではないでしょうか。

ダンスインザムードですが、この馬は本当に当てになりませんね。
正直、終わった馬だと思っていました。
ところが、天皇賞秋で僅差の3着、、、。
昨年はデュランダルに2馬身差つけられ完敗しましたが、去年のレースは外枠かつスロペースだったためであり、もし内枠を引いて経済コースで脚をためることができれば、逆転はなくても苦しめるシーンもあるのでしょうか。
ただし、去年と同じぐらいの状態にあればの話です。

その他の馬たちは正直、デュランダルと勝負付けの終わった馬ばかりだと思います。
2着は混戦ですが、大雨が降らない限り、頭はデュランダルで鉄板だと思っています。


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