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◎アルカセット-ジャパンカップ-

jiromarulogo
確かに、詰めの甘いゼンノロブロイに戻ってしまったようですね。
やはり、昨年の秋のG1レースを3連勝した疲労の蓄積があるのではないでしょうか。
G1レース3連勝したテイエムオペラオーも、晩年は勝ちきれないレースが続きました。
おっしゃるように、肉体面ではなく、精神面で燃え尽きてしまったのでしょう。
よって、今回のレースはゼンノロブロイは買いません。
好走するものの、何かに負けてしまうというイメージが容易に浮かびます。

とはいえ、日本馬で勝ちきれる馬が見当たりません。
あえて挙げるとすれば、未知の3歳馬であるアドマイヤジャパンでしょうか。
ここにきて成長が著しいようですし、最終追い切りも素晴らしい動きを見せました。
エルコンドルパサーしかり、3歳馬はこの時期に急激に成長しますので、評価をひとつ上げておきます。
古馬に混じると、距離が長い気がしますが、乗り方次第ではチャンスはあるのではないでしょうか。

難しい外国馬の取捨ですが、アルカセットとベタートークナウが良く見えます。
ベタートークナウは、日本の競馬に合いそうな軽い走りが印象的です。
体が柔らかいのか、全身を使った走法は、間違いなく軽い馬場向きです。
ただ、いくらセン馬とはいえ、6歳という高齢が気になります。
ジャパンカップ向きの馬ではありますが、勝ち切るまでは難しいでしょう。

思い切って、本命は◎アルカセットに打ちます。
理由としては、他の外国馬と比べて実績がない分、ここにきて力を付けてきている馬だからです。
サンクルー大賞を制していますし、フォア賞も2着で、これから実績を積み上げていく馬になるかも知れません。
凱旋門賞やBCターフに出走しようとしていたように、陣営の高い志しも感じられます。
もちろん、デットーリがわざわざ乗りに来ているのも見逃せません。

実績ではバゴとウィジャボードですが、どちらもピークは過ぎている気がして狙いにくいですね。
キングスドラマとウォーサンは、このメンバーでは実力的に苦しいでしょう。


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Comments

予想的中おめでとうございます!
ゼンノロブロイはおっしゃったとおりでしたね。
自分は天皇賞では本命にしなかったのにここは是が非でも獲りにくると思って本命にしちゃいました。
アルカセットはデットーリ鞍乗で有馬きてほしい!

Posted by: りょう | November 28, 2005 at 11:28 AM

コメントありがとうございます。

デットーリがやってくれましたね。

りょうさんのブログでは、吉祥寺のこと書かれてますよね。

私も実は、昔、吉祥寺に住んでいたので、懐かしく拝見しました。

また遊びにきてください!

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