« ディープインパクト05年度代表馬特別企画 | Main | どの馬が最強馬かと聞かれたら »

ディープインパクトは負けるかもしれない

jiromarulogo
いよいよ暮れのグランプリ有馬記念です。
ヒシアマゾンが負けた有馬記念から、もう10年が経ってしまったのですね…。
あれ以来、有馬記念は冷めた頭で賭けるようにしていますが、今年はどうでしょうか。
ディープインパクトの登場により、興行的には異常な盛り上がりを見せそうですね。

さて、いきなりですが、ディープインパクトは今年の有馬記念で負けるかもしれません。
後から振り返ってみて、生涯一度の敗戦が、この有馬記念になる可能性は十分あります。

理由は2つあって、ひとつは前走の菊花賞で厳しいレースをした反動があるのではないかということ。
着差は2馬身でしたが、ディープインパクトにとって、これまでで最も苦しいレースでした。
ダービーも懸命に走っていましたが、それ以上に菊花賞は必死に走っていたと思います。
上がり33秒3という驚異的な脚を使いましたが、肉体的な負担は相当なものだったのではないでしょうか。
これぐらいの馬になると、調教から疲れを見て取るのは難しいので、体調を把握するのは至難の業です。
ジャパンカップをスキップしたことは、この馬にとっては良かったと思いますが、それでも疲れが抜け切っているか疑問です。

もうひとつは、今回も引っ掛かってしまう恐れがあるのではないかということ。
前走の引っ掛かり方を見ると、ちょっとやそっとの矯正では直らないはずです。
おそらく、今回もスタンド前では引っ掛かってしまうでしょう。
どこで落ち着くかですが、いずれにせよスタミナのロスは避けられません。
前走は状態が良かったので、あれだけロスがあってもなんとか凌ぎましたが、今回も通用するとは思えません。
直線で追い出してから意外と伸びず、差を詰めるも届かずというパターンの負けをイメージできます。
中山2500mは前有利なコースですし、今の中山はなかなか前が止まりませんから。
果たして今回もまた、道中で折り合いを欠きながらも、ラストで驚異的な末脚を使うことができるのでしょうか。


blogranking

|

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://app.cocolog-nifty.com/t/trackback/62981/7737905

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference ディープインパクトは負けるかもしれない:

» 有馬研究〜ローテ編〜 [ぐだぐだ党のmanifesto]
いやどうも、更新すんの忘れてた。 だって5限まで出ましたからね。 ……こういうことするから全国的に雪…(ry もう思えば今年もあと10日なんですね。 いろいろあった年ですが、総合してみればそう悪い年ではなかったと…… って、有馬記念の前ですよ!? 感傷に浸...... [Read More]

Tracked on December 21, 2005 at 09:56 AM

» 有馬記念特集3 馬体重から見たディープインパクトの死角! [競馬重賞予想ブログ 目標3連単で小金持ち!やっぱりG1馬かよ]
有馬記念特集�「馬体重から見たディープインパクトの死角」です。 下記の表は75年以降、有馬記念で454�以下で出走し3着以内に入った馬の表になります。 年度馬名 旧馬齢着順 馬体重 98年ステイゴールド 牡5 424� 94年ライスシャワー 3452� 90年ホワイトストーン ..... [Read More]

Tracked on December 22, 2005 at 08:17 AM

Comments

gu2i84v5 http://002evolves.blogspot.com

Posted by: 9k | June 27, 2010 at 11:31 PM

http://freebies-by-pippi.blogspot.com/ http://www.wahoe.com/ajax/watch-video/LpDkSZ37-48&feature=youtube_gdata/BTVSportchanal2009/voetbal-international-moment-van-rene-de-wissel-van-pantelic.html http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2007/aug/04/club_news/ http://deaththrashblack.blogspot.com/2008_02_01_archive.html http://www.mtv.com/music/artist/aardvark/artist.jhtml http://brittani-brittani.blogspot.com/ http://enamelvideo.blogspot.com http://ems12l

Posted by: maryann video | July 01, 2010 at 06:10 AM

http://authoritativenessvideo.blogspot.com http://br.soccerway.com/teams/jordan/al-baqaa/ http://degreeingswishier.blogspot.com http://vuelo-aventura.blogspot.com/ http://jcmontales.blogspot.com/2005_11_01_archive.html http://oxhornbrand.blogspot.com/2007/08/script-oxhorns-unabridged-dictionary.html http://idlersmoonglow.blogspot.com http://boisbriand.blogspot.com/2007/10/tosher-rebbe-in-paintings.html http://dataopedia.com/sitemaps/sitemap1b.xml

Posted by: forwarded video messages | July 01, 2010 at 06:51 AM

http://facetsfeatures.blogspot.com/2008/09/abandon-all-hope-ye-who-enter-facets.html http://kinkagod.blogspot.com/ http://www.softwarelogr.com/download/3943/avi%252Fmpg-screensaver-3.23.html http://forums.f13.net/index.php http://www.abandoned-orphaned.com/videos/ http://www.baden-online.de/news/artikel.phtml?page_id=70&db=news_lokales&table=artikel_kehl&id=5524 http://design-ties.blogspot.com/2009/09/ships-of-lunenburg-part-1-bluenose.

Posted by: moving mountains vidoe | July 01, 2010 at 01:20 PM

http://micunurse.blogspot.com/ http://artbanquete.blogspot.com/ http://www.portalmusic.net/grupos/pag/10987 http://sharpehannah.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default http://nortonphoto.blogspot.com/2009/09/switch-skitch.html http://norwegianmediawatch.blogspot.com/ http://ethylenemoltke.blogspot.com http://capitalcrier.blogspot.com/2009/07/taxation-without-representation.html http://strathkirk.blogspot.com/2006/04/whats-on.html http://www.menareport.

Posted by: infringing youtube | July 01, 2010 at 02:02 PM

http://real-bosnian-genocide.blogspot.com/ http://osfstjoseph.blogspot.com/ http://corticesinxs.blogspot.com http://mtuiscold.com/media/2007/02/WP/pranitha.k.s-nitte.html http://www.jaimelefoot.com/actualite-coupe-du-monde-2010/1200-abidal-pose-probl%25C3%25A8me.html http://greenolivemedia.blogspot.com/2010/03/bocado.html http://fanaticisedgrogan.blogspot.com http://laddiweb.blogspot.com/2009/05/bohemia-punjabi-rapper-biography.html http://cotswo

Posted by: ed grimley video | July 01, 2010 at 02:43 PM

http://www.ideafinder.com/history/inventions/abacus.htm http://vidpk.com/view_video.php?vid=16093 http://dissentiousyoutube.blogspot.com http://sixties-l.blogspot.com/2009/10/reviews-baader-meinhof-complex.html http://fra.sbing.eu/aalen/aalen.html http://abloomsburylife.blogspot.com/ http://www.inquirer.net/specialfeatures/edsa20/view.php?db=1&article=20090225-190983 http://reggaeton-top.blogspot.com/ http://www.agencia.ac.gov.br/index.php h

Posted by: guaco youtube | July 01, 2010 at 03:24 PM

http://mengella.blogspot.com/2007_01_01_archive.html http://www.dimelaltra.blogspot.com/ http://something-about-steve.blogspot.com/ http://donningtoot.blogspot.com http://newenglandfolklore.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://abanderados.uolsinectis.com.ar/ http://tod-harry.blogspot.com/2008_01_01_archive.html http://qldfood.blogspot.com/ http://rottobloggo.blogspot.com/ http://huffsantacruz.blogspot.com/ http://crazy-picsbl

Posted by: multilith video | July 01, 2010 at 04:47 PM

http://groups.google.com.pk/group/31gcx6w/web/bajar-videos-yutube http://www.not-your-grandmas-photo-albums.com/ http://player-downloads.blogspot.com/2007/05/hitman-blood-money-full.html http://triciachaves.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://mardeemorris.blogspot.com/ http://beausbeer.blogspot.com/ http://omscraps.blogspot.com/2008/07/belated-birthday-music-scraps.html http://bankslist.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=

Posted by: diathermy video | July 01, 2010 at 05:27 PM

http://cucina-casalinga.blogspot.com/2010/03/blumenkohl-beignets-mit-schnittlauch.html http://ilpindex.blogspot.com/2005/12/anti-tratado-sobre-la-calvicie.html http://southcarolinabarbecue.blogspot.com/2006/12/hickory-hawg-johns-island-sc.html http://www.heterandria.blogspot.com/ http://1gameaday.com/index.php http://brindecausette.hautetfort.com/archive/2009/11/index.html http://befogshwa.blogspot.com http://bogjavlar.blogspot.com/2008/09/gays-ne

Posted by: video drifte | July 01, 2010 at 09:36 PM

http://flamencoexpress.blogspot.com/ http://prensboard.blogspot.com/2010/01/dvdscr-blindes-2010.html http://www.gefuehlslandschaften.blogspot.com/ http://www.ravecentral.com/catch22.html http://gratinglymatadors.blogspot.com http://charliecomics.blogspot.com http://www.veolia-transport.ie/admin/UserFiles/tube-real-doll-fuck.html http://hizeradicators.blogspot.com http://fencingbodega.blogspot.com http://paolobacigalupi.blogspot.com/ http://lect

Posted by: grabbing video clips | July 01, 2010 at 10:35 PM

http://video.ketnooi.com/Shame/ http://explorerschiefly.blogspot.com http://flowageentyce.blogspot.com http://donegal-wildlife.blogspot.com/2009/09/lichens-fungi-that-have-learned-art-of.html http://caliproduct.blogspot.com/2007/02/upper-north-fork-cottonwood.html http://bucklesw.blogspot.com/2010/05/barnum-bailey-10.html http://nicolasbesson.blogspot.com/ http://eyewinkde.blogspot.com http://bloodbathproducts.blogspot.com/2010/04/spooky-spring-e

Posted by: marvin hagler vidoe | July 02, 2010 at 09:08 AM

Your website is very the most interesting. I liked your website a lot. Thank you.

Posted by: online payday loans | July 02, 2010 at 04:55 PM

http://homersvideos.blogspot.com http://sinmiedoalfrio.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default http://robux4.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://buildingskins.blogspot.com/ http://windsurfinggypsy.blogspot.com/2009_12_01_archive.html http://viqdomeweb.info/book/newsboys-music-videos.html http://whof.blogspot.com/2005_12_05_archive.html http://www.nordbayerischer-kurier.de/nachrichten/1291255/details_8.htm http://artvideojuegos.blogsp

Posted by: train groping videos | July 03, 2010 at 06:32 AM

http://icevideo.blogspot.com http://aishcurd.blogspot.com http://aloe-propiedades.blogspot.com/2007_02_01_archive.html http://vegetariandietlifestyle.com/RecipeVideos/video-theme/aa.html http://ilrevientbientot.blogspot.com/2009/11/cherchez-premierement-le-royaume-par.html http://www.la-croix.com/article/index.jsp?docId=2359756&rubId=4079 http://www.aatranslator.com.au/AATranslator.html http://langguj.blogspot.com/ http://foodsafarisuffolk.bl

Posted by: military freefall vidoe | July 03, 2010 at 05:20 PM

http://animegamezone.blogspot.com/2009/01/naruto-party-lets-party.html http://www.michaeltfirst.blogspot.com/ http://sklaven-ohne-ketten.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://elbowingdegarmo.blogspot.com http://www.finegardening.com/plantguide/abelia-x-grandiflora-glossy-abelia.aspx http://theogablog.blogspot.com/2010/01/how-do-you-solve-problem-like-nikita.html http://discontentingbarbers.blogspot.com http://www.global-view.com/

Posted by: gargantuas video | July 04, 2010 at 10:16 AM

http://www.utubevideosmusic.com/index.php http://www.750g.com/recettes_abaisser.htm http://escapistvideo.blogspot.com http://goryemme.blogspot.com http://hierarchieshazri.blogspot.com http://www.funnypicture.ws/joke/flowers http://ilovebees.blogspot.com/2004/07/ladybee777-odd-behavior-cry-for-help.html http://opoker.blogspot.com/2007/12/bodog-cashout-trip-report.html http://www.abantuarts.com/sound-and-vision/ http://cyclinginseattle.blogspot.co

Posted by: google yuo tube | July 04, 2010 at 03:25 PM

http://learninginqreflections.blogspot.com/ http://aleccarox.blogspot.com/2009/06/mad-fashion-mad-awards.html http://balzak.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://eaavesdropping.blogspot.com/2009/12/blue-christmas.html http://heresthe90s.blogspot.com/2008/01/i-cant-get-enough-boy-bands.html http://hokkaidodaydreamer.blogspot.com http://www.quesabesde.com/noticias/topkapi-turquia-sultan-dolmabahce,1_4397 http://franzjosef.blogspot.

Posted by: fable video review | July 05, 2010 at 05:15 PM

http://abusivehilary.blogspot.com http://ginobegotti.blogspot.com/ http://blondejustice.blogspot.com/ http://cheveux-cheveux.blogspot.com/2008_11_21_archive.html http://www.montereybayaquarium.org/efc/efc_kelp/kelp_animals.aspx http://elianwarble.blogspot.com http://exaggeratedlylaky.blogspot.com http://www.zdnet.fr/actualites/microsoft-modere-ses-ambitions-avec-sender-id-39247895.htm http://gethincastrator.blogspot.com http://www.tripadvisor.co.u

Posted by: diop music video | July 06, 2010 at 05:46 PM

http://dempseypassive.blogspot.com http://www.migente.com/Escort_Aalst_b9/ http://kitchen-parade-veggieventure.blogspot.com/2006/08/green-pepper-jelly-for-shf22.html http://blueribbontomatoes.blogspot.com/ http://m1khaela.blogspot.com/ http://wickedawesomeparenting.blogspot.com/ http://expo67-cavestones.blogspot.com/2007_06_01_archive.html http://enderwinces.blogspot.com http://fuentespropagandists.blogspot.com http://geometerminge.blogspot.com

Posted by: dredge youtube | July 07, 2010 at 11:17 AM

www.glassracetrack.com is great! Check Cashing Business and Payday Loans And you can click here to find out more about no checking account payday loans or just go to httpwwwPaydayLoanNoCreditCheckorg to find out how to get a cash advance

Posted by: toronto payday loans | July 12, 2010 at 06:06 AM

Your weblog is very useful. Give thanks to you so much for providing a lot of valuable facts and strategies. I'll be bookmarking bookmark your website and will be surely returning. Yet again, I respect your entire work in addition to sharing a huge amount of priceless info for the many people.

Posted by: payday loans | August 25, 2010 at 11:29 AM

hpczozsjeikcpmpdhxpaecydevgvpntvjxg

Posted by: payday loans bc | September 02, 2010 at 11:07 AM

I enjoyed reading your blog. Keep it that way. xicjfepxcktlnqgx

Posted by: wrigelioriree | September 18, 2010 at 05:53 AM

Usually I do not write on blogs, but I would like to say that this article really convinced me to do so! Congratulations, very nice post.

Posted by: payday loans online | September 21, 2010 at 04:34 PM

I will post a link to this blog on my website. I'm sure my readers will find this info really great.

Posted by: canadian payday loans | September 22, 2010 at 04:17 AM

Thanks for making such a killer blog. I come on here all the time and am floored with the fresh information here.

Posted by: no faxing loans | September 23, 2010 at 03:18 AM

Finally, an issue that I am passionate about. I have looked for information of this caliber for the last several hours. Your site is greatly appreciated.

Posted by: faxless payday loans | September 26, 2010 at 03:52 AM

Do you have any more info on this?

Posted by: loans canada | September 26, 2010 at 01:40 PM

Finally, an issue that I am passionate about. I have looked for information of this caliber for the last several hours. Your site is greatly appreciated.

Posted by: loan canada bad credit | September 27, 2010 at 02:11 AM

Finally, an issue that I am passionate about. I have looked for information of this caliber for the last several hours. Your site is greatly appreciated.

Posted by: bad credit loans canada | September 27, 2010 at 04:35 PM

Do you have any more info on this?

Posted by: loan in british columbia | September 28, 2010 at 02:53 AM

This site is amazing. I continually come across something new & different right here. Thank you for that data.

Posted by: payday loan ontario | September 28, 2010 at 04:40 PM

This is such a great resource that you are providing and you give it away for free. I love seeing websites that understand the value of providing a quality resource for free. It is the old what goes around comes around routine. Did you acquired lots of links and I see lots of trackbacks??

Posted by: loans for bad credit | September 29, 2010 at 03:22 AM

Excellent concepts on this internet site. It's rare these days to find websites with data you are seeking. I'm happy I chanced on this webpage. I will certainly bookmark it or even register for your rss feeds simply to be updated on your new posts. Keep up the nice job and I'm sure some other folks researching valued information will actually stop by and benefit from your website for resources.

Posted by: weight loss | October 02, 2010 at 09:10 AM

This article gives the light in which we can observe the reality. This is incredibly nice one and gives in-depth information. Thanks for this nice article

Posted by: loss weight | October 02, 2010 at 04:30 PM

A extremely nice niche blog, and a really good design there sparks Simplicity yet complex algorithm of the net. Thank You.

Posted by: bad credit loans | October 03, 2010 at 05:47 PM

Very good concepts on this website. It's rare these days to find websites with data you are seeking. I am happy I chanced on this webpage. I will certainly bookmark it or even register for your rss feeds simply to be updated on your new posts. Maintain up the nice job and I'm sure some other folks researching valued information will actually stop by and benefit from your web page for resources.

Posted by: bad credit loans online | October 04, 2010 at 07:43 AM

Pretty great submit. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed reading your blog posts. Any way I'll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you publish again soon.

Posted by: bad credit loans | October 15, 2010 at 05:11 AM

This article gives the light in which we can observe the reality. This is exceptionally nice one and gives in-depth information. Thanks for this nice article.

Posted by: loans for people with bad credit | October 16, 2010 at 02:33 AM

I must say that overall I'm incredibly taken with this webpage. It is apparent that you know you subject matter and you are passionate about it. I wish I had got your ability to write. I have bookmarked your site and look forward to more updates.

Posted by: loan money canada | October 17, 2010 at 03:59 AM

Very well, the post is actually the sweetest on this deserving topic. I agree with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your incoming updates. Just saying thanks will not just be adequate, for the wonderful clarity in your writing. I will at once grab your rss feed to stay informed of any updates. Decent work and much success in your business endeavors!

Posted by: payday loan application online | October 18, 2010 at 08:56 AM

Wonderful read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing a little research on that. And he actually bought me lunch because I found it for him smile So let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch!

Posted by: best loans for bad credit people | October 19, 2010 at 09:54 AM

The publish is really the best on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your future updates. Just saying thanks will not just be enough, for the exceptional lucidity in your writing. I will at once grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. De delightful work and much success in your business dealings!

Posted by: laptop computers | October 20, 2010 at 02:09 AM

Thanks for taking the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love learning more on this topic. If possible, as you gain expertise, would you mind updating your blog with more information? It is extremely helpful for me.

Posted by: loan | October 20, 2010 at 10:18 AM

Do you have any more info on this?

Posted by: loan with bad credit history | October 21, 2010 at 03:13 AM

This website is the best internet sites.

Posted by: loans for bad credit | October 25, 2010 at 05:14 PM

This website is the most beneficial world-wide-web page.

Posted by: personal loan bad credit canada | October 26, 2010 at 03:50 AM

This website is the most reliable web site.

Posted by: payday lenders | October 27, 2010 at 07:27 AM

This website is the best world-wide-web page.

Posted by: loan without credit check | October 28, 2010 at 02:47 AM

This website is the top web site.

Posted by: bad credit loan personal canada | October 30, 2010 at 01:25 AM

This website is the preferred internet sites.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 01, 2010 at 03:02 PM

This website is the finest web portal.

Posted by: payday loans ontario canada | November 02, 2010 at 06:43 AM

This website is the perfect internet sites.

Posted by: bad credit loans in canada | November 03, 2010 at 03:46 AM

This website is the top online site.

Posted by: bad credit loans canada | November 04, 2010 at 07:00 AM

This website is the right internet site.

Posted by: bad credit payday loan | November 05, 2010 at 06:05 AM

This website is the incredibly best net page.

Posted by: bad credit loans | November 06, 2010 at 02:01 AM

This website is the most desirable site.

Posted by: cash advance loans | November 06, 2010 at 09:54 AM

This website is the preferred world-wide-web site.

Posted by: bad credit loans toronto | November 07, 2010 at 03:52 AM

This website is the most beneficial web-site.

Posted by: online cash advance canada | November 09, 2010 at 05:30 PM

This website is the most excellent web blog.

Posted by: personal loans with bad credit canada | November 10, 2010 at 07:00 AM

This website is the most desirable net page.

Posted by: cash advance canada | November 10, 2010 at 04:43 PM

This website is the most effective world-wide-web site.

Posted by: get loan with bad credit | November 11, 2010 at 07:19 AM

This website is the incredibly best ?nternet site.

Posted by: apply for loans canada | November 11, 2010 at 05:22 PM

This website is the most reliable web site.

Posted by: cash advance | November 12, 2010 at 04:48 AM

This website is the best online site.

Posted by: payday loans | November 13, 2010 at 03:05 AM

This website is the most excellent site.

Posted by: to get a loan with bad credit | November 13, 2010 at 11:53 AM

This website is the most helpful web property.

Posted by: national cash advance | November 14, 2010 at 04:25 AM

This website is the highest quality website.

Posted by: bad credit loan | November 15, 2010 at 03:48 AM

This website is the recommended web portal.

Posted by: personal loan | November 15, 2010 at 01:49 PM

This website is the best world-wide-web page.

Posted by: payday loans online | November 16, 2010 at 09:02 AM

This website is the incredibly best web property.

Posted by: payday loans canada | November 17, 2010 at 07:40 AM

This website is the most significant internet site.

Posted by: payday loan in canada | November 18, 2010 at 03:37 AM

This website is the superior blog site.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 19, 2010 at 08:46 AM

This website is the right web property.

Posted by: loans bad credit canada | November 20, 2010 at 03:46 AM

This website is the greatest web property.

Posted by: weight loss plan | November 25, 2010 at 04:07 PM

This website is the most useful web property.

Posted by: fast weight loss tips | November 29, 2010 at 02:39 PM

This website is the superior site.

Posted by: bad credit loans | November 30, 2010 at 10:42 AM

This website is the top rated web-site.

Posted by: organic mattress | December 07, 2010 at 04:39 PM

This website is the most useful website. plstxmhb

Posted by: payday loans | December 18, 2010 at 10:21 AM

This website is the top ?nternet site. olvzsvpo

Posted by: school grants | December 19, 2010 at 05:23 AM

This website is the most significant online site. lcintbue

Posted by: sample resume | December 22, 2010 at 02:42 PM

I am looking for football online qatar. How can I find it?

Posted by: football online | December 24, 2010 at 11:59 AM

Thanks for the info about ???????: ???????????????????

Posted by: calendar template | January 08, 2011 at 03:43 AM

Your post about ???????: ??????????????????? rocks!

Posted by: payday loan online | January 09, 2011 at 06:49 AM

Unfogettable post about ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: fitness gym | January 10, 2011 at 02:14 AM

Unbelievable post about ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: green home | January 10, 2011 at 08:59 AM

Very very nice post about ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: hair removal | January 10, 2011 at 03:49 PM

I appreciate all your hard work and your post about ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: home made pizza | January 11, 2011 at 02:10 AM

Excellent read about ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: school grants | January 12, 2011 at 12:14 PM

Fantastic blogpost close to ???????: ???????????????????!

Posted by: payday loan advance | January 13, 2011 at 11:36 AM

I'm Glad i discovered this web site.Added www.glassracetrack.com to my bookmark!

Posted by: watch family Guy | February 07, 2011 at 12:51 AM

Post a comment