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集中連載:「馬体重は語る」-第5回-

umaweight05■馬体重に関する考え方の基本
それでは、当日の馬体重がその日の<体調>に影響を与えないとすれば、その影響はいつ現れて来るのだろうか。

以下が馬体重に関する考え方の基本原則となるのだが、

「当日の馬体重の増減が馬の<体調>に影響を及ぼすのは、その日のレースにおいてではなく、レースの後になる」
ということである。

馬体重の増減はその場、その時の馬の<体調>には影響は持たず、レース後の<体調>に影響を与える。ということはつまり、もしレース当日の馬の<体調>を見極めたいとすれば、当日の馬体重の増減ではなく、前のレースまでの馬体重の推移を手がかりとしなければならない。

■Aという2歳馬
たとえば、Aという2歳馬が入厩してきたとする。入厩時に体重を計ると500kgであった。少しずつピッチを上げながら調教を重ね、やっとレースで力を発揮できるだけの状態になったため、とりあえず出走することになった。

デビュー戦での馬体重は480kgで、レースでは中団から直線で2~3頭抜いて5着という成績。すぐに3週間後の新馬戦に向けて調教再開。

2戦目の馬体重は前走から-4kgの476kg。前走は1戦目ということもあって多少太かったので、一度レースを使われたことによって馬体が締まったようである。レースでは最後の直線で鋭い切れを見せて結果2着。

それを見て次回はチャンスと考えた調教師は、今まで以上のトレーニングをこの馬に課し、3戦目の未勝利戦には100%の仕上げで臨んだ。

3戦目当日の馬体重は470kg。レースでは直線楽々と先頭に立ち、そのまま押し切ってしまう横綱相撲であった。レース後、見た目には疲れも残っていないようなので、次走へは十分な間隔を取って調教を開始した。

4戦目の500万条件での馬体重は+4kgの474kg。しかし、レースでは見せ場なしの8着に終わってしまった。

さて、この馬の1戦目からの馬体重と着順だけを並べると以下のようになる。

       馬体重    着順
1戦目    480    5着
2戦目    476    2着
3戦目    470    1着
4戦目    474    8着

これらの数字から、1戦目の馬体は太め残りであったと解釈すると、この馬の現時点でのベスト体重は470~476kgとなる。470kgという馬体重がこの馬にとって最も仕上がった状態であって、そこから476kgぐらいまでが競走能力を削ぐことのない<仕上がり>ということになる。ベスト体重の幅は各馬によって異なるが、結果さえ出ていれば、その馬体重はその馬の許容範囲であるとい考えてよいだろう。

それでは、ベスト体重の範囲内である4戦目の474kgで、なぜ8着に惨敗してしまったのだろうか。

「当日の馬体重の増減が馬の<体調>に影響を及ぼすのは、その日のレースではなく、レースの後になる」という基本原則から読み解くと、3戦目における大幅な馬体重の減少(マイナス6kg)が、4戦目に影響を与えたと考えることができる。つまり、3戦目で最高の状態に仕上げたことによる反動が、4戦目に出てしまったということになる。

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