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アドマイヤムーンは皐月賞の載冠にかなり近い

Aoyagilogo_2
ありがとうございます。
久しぶりに"当たった!"と実感できるレースでした。
ただ、これだけ外し続けると、"たまたま当たった"と言われ兼ねないので、皐月賞も気合入れて頑張りたいと思います。

皐月賞でも桜花賞で1番人気に支持されたアドマイヤキッスと同じオーナーが持つ、アドマイヤムーンが人気を集めそうですね。
桜花賞ではアドマイヤキッスを"過信禁物"と表現しましたが、アドマイヤムーンについては皐月賞の載冠にかなり近いところにいると思っています。
というのもあって、同じオーナーが2週連続クラシックを勝つことはそうそうないだろうと思い、"打倒アドマイヤキッス"として、桜花賞の予想に望んだのですが。
唯一の敗戦がラジオたんぱ賞でしたが、休み明けかつハナ差負けでしたし、内容としては勝ちに等しいものでしょう。
私もこの馬はダービーよりも皐月賞のようにスピードを生かす競馬、そして距離も2000mがベストだと思っています。
昨年のディープインパクトの印象が強烈過ぎて、今年のメンバは小粒に見えるかも知れませんが、アドマイヤムーンに関しては、例年の勝ち馬と比較しても、遜色のない力を持った馬だと思っています。
ただ前を行く馬を捕らえる脚は抜群な反面、いくらマシになったといえ、未だにソラを使うところがあります。
もしこの馬が負けるとすれば、ラジオたんぱ賞のように後ろから脚を使われたときでしょうか。

未知の魅力という意味であれば、やはり無敗のフサイチジャンクでしょう。
ただこの馬は、おっしゃる通り、アドマイヤムーンと逆で皐月賞ではなく、ダービー向きの馬だと思います。
アドマイヤムーンと比較すると、スピード面、いわば一瞬の脚に欠けますね。
またご存知の通り、某TV番組で命名された馬ですので、人気もかなり集まると思います。
これでアドマイヤムーンの単勝が少しでもつけば、、、そんな印象です。
皐月賞では、軽視しようと思っています。

フサイチリシャールは今回どのような競馬をしてくるのでしょうか。
最近、抑える競馬をしていますが、やはり先行力を活かす競馬が向いているでしょう。
一瞬の脚では、上位馬に適わないでしょう。
それでも、今回ステキシンスケクンの参戦でペースも速くなるでしょうから、昨年同様、先行馬に厳しい流れになると思います。
馬場が悪化しない限り、逆転は難しいでしょう。

馬券的に面白い馬として、ショウナンタキオンをあげておきたいと思います。
朝日杯FS、共同通信杯はともに4着で人気を落としそうですが、それほど大きく負けたわけではありません。
朝日杯FSは休み明け、共同通信は早仕掛けと、ともに完璧なレースではありませんでした。
最後の脚は素晴らしいものもありますし、直線まで我慢し、末脚を伸ばす思い切った競馬をすれば、昨年のシックスセンスのように2着に突っ込んで可能性もあると思います。

伏兵馬も揃っていますが、馬場が悪化しない限り、アドマイヤムーンを逆転するのは難しいのではないでしょうか。


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