« JCダート結論:◎ブルーコンコルド | Main | 変わってゆくことだ »

両雄並び立たずということは十分ある

Rudolf_14

今回はJCの予想です。外国馬が2頭ということで、いささか寂しい気もしますが、中身は濃いですね。ウィジャボードは歴史に名を刻む名馬ですね。日本馬のレベルも例年になく高いものとなりました。今回のポイントは、ディープが勝てるかという1点につきますね。

出走馬中、半数ほどの馬が国際競争で好戦しています。ディープでもこのメンバーを相手に2馬身も千切って勝利を収めることはないでしょう。実力伯仲とは言えませんが、結果として接戦になるはずです。レース展開も、逃げることだけでアドバンテージを握ろうとする馬はいないので、一団となって消耗戦を戦うような展開になると思います。

この展開だと、自在性を身につけているハーツクライがペースを操りながら、他の馬より有利にレースを進めることができるのではないでしょうか。のど鳴りが出ているらしいのですが、湿度の高い日が続いているので大丈夫でしょう。何よりもこの馬が大切に使われていることに好感を覚えます。トレーナーはこの馬が勝って名誉を手にできるレースだけを選んで使ってきたと思います。JCはそんなレースのひとつなのでしょう。Qエリザベスでは仕掛けるタイミングさえ間違えなければと、思わせるほど強いレースができました。実力はディープと並んでいます。ハーツが1着になるような展開の場合、気の荒いヘイローの血を濃く引くディープがストレスをためて実力を発揮できないことも十分あり得ると思います。ルメール騎手はディープが嫌がるペースを刻むはずです。

武騎手は精密機械のような人ですね。虚心で乗るなんてことのない、常に緻密に考えレースを進める騎手です。今回はゴール寸前ですべての馬を呑み込んでしまえる位置にディープを置いてレースを進めるはずです。なぜなら今回のレースでは勝ち方は問題ではなく、勝つことだけが問われているからです。偉大な鼻差の勝利を目指していることでしょう。馬群の外目の後方に武騎手はいると思います。ストレスさえ感じなければ、ディープは勝てます。この場合、先に仕掛けるハーツがディープと同じタイミングで追い出された馬に足元をすくわれるかも知れません。ディープの強烈な末脚は先行した馬にプレッシャーを与え続けます。武騎手は先行馬を威圧するような位置でレースを進めるはずです。

両雄並び立たず、ということは十分あると思います。また、ディープとハーツのワンツーをやすやすと許す馬と騎手たちではありませんね。

2着候補の1番手はパスポートです。この馬が世代を越えた強さをもっていることは菊花賞でわかりました。安藤騎手か岩田騎手に乗って欲しかったので、今回は大いに期待がもてます。2番手はフリードニア。昨日書いた、レッドゴッドの"それでも勝つ"の精神は、消耗戦でこそ生きると思います。父方のネイティブダンサー系はJCに強い血です。JCを目指してやってきたというのもいいですね。忘れていました。デットーリ、Wボード!これはオッズ次第で単勝を買える馬です。

騎手の心理戦を堪能するために3連単でいきましょう。
1着 ディープインパクト ハーツクライ ウィジャボード
2着 ドリームパスポート フリードニア
3着 ディープインパクト ハーツクライ ドリームパスポート


いつも応援ありがとうございます。
一完歩ずつランキング1位を目指します!↓

|

TrackBack


Listed below are links to weblogs that reference 両雄並び立たずということは十分ある:

Comments

いつもお邪魔しています。どもです。
JCDは距離適正が問われたレースみたいですね。アロンライトはやはり勢いだけの格下馬扱いしたのが敗因でした。

JCですが、やはりハーツを狙います。橋口調教師のコメントにはいつも振り回されます。「ディープとは戦いたく無い」と言ったり、「一緒に走れるのが楽しみ」とか・・。「やはりディープの方が強かったと言われるのは癪だ」みたいな発言とか。
深読み派の私としては、この様に訳してしまいます。
「ディープに勝つと、まるで敵の様な扱いを受けるので一緒には走りたく無い。」
ルメールのコメントも強気が多いですね。ハーツを一番手に。
ノドなり情報は気にはなりますが、今時分ノドなりは手術で直せる(完治はしないかも知れないが、ダイワメジャーも影響を感じさせなくなった)ので、陣営も自信が無ければ手術に踏み切るでしょ?と。。。
早め先頭でMペースを刻みたいだろうメイショウサムソンはハーツと馬体を併せるとしぶといと予想。この2頭が叩き合いを始めるとディープでも割ってはいるのは厳しいのでは?
(馬体が思うように減っていないという情報もあるので注意)
ドリームパスポートは同じ騎手で続けて乗せてやれ!と言いたいですね。個人的には安藤騎手か、横山騎手、高田騎手でお願いしたい。岩田騎手は追える騎手ですが、最近は早仕掛けの早め先頭押し切りのイメージが強すぎてドリームパスポートのイメージに合わないですね。
斤量の軽いパンドラの方が気になります。まぁ、この馬は私が買うと来ないのですが・・・。
2強は並び立たないという意見を取り入れて3連単
1着:ハーツ、ディープ
2着:サムソン、ドリーム
3着:ハーツ、ディープ、ウィジャ、パンドラ、ドリーム、サムソン
のフォーメーションで。

Posted by: はやひで | November 26, 2006 02:24 AM

こんばんは。ありがとうございます・

阪神JFの登録馬をネットで探していたところです。
見つかりませんでした・・・

「ディープに勝つと、まるで敵の様な扱いを受けるので一緒には走りたく無い」

なるほど、橋口師はこういうことを言いたかったんですね。

池江師の顔からはすっかり笑顔が消えてしまいました。

武騎手はいつものようにクールな感じです。

こんなに人の思いが寄せられているレースは久々に見ます。

若かったころ、第1回JCに興奮したのを思い出しました。

JCDのエルコンドル産駒は強かったですね。

エルコンドルは本当に惜しい種牡馬です。

Bコンコルドの出来は最高だったんではないでしょうか?

体形を見るとマイラーかなと思います。

少し不利もあったようです。

さてJCはどんな結末になるのか?

久々に興奮しています。

Posted by: ルドルフおやじ | November 26, 2006 03:27 AM

rzdftp http://002evolves.blogspot.com

Posted by: w27rg | June 27, 2010 11:31 PM

http://bladevideo.blogspot.com http://iavaluesnotforsale.blogspot.com/ http://addressabilityyoutube.blogspot.com http://www.mis-recetas.org/recetas/show/2448-albacora-frita http://www.reichinger.com/steuerberater_traun_online-buchhaltung_traun/pinwand.html http://dhandewata.blogspot.com/2008_07_01_archive.html http://www.maxpreps.com/photo/gallery.aspx?imageid=6298a40f-bac6-46e8-b6c6-661d76179329&photogalleryid=110b1068-2302-4e82-846a-f7d61467d

Posted by: favre video | July 01, 2010 05:21 AM

http://abasses.fr/ http://hussarlapus.blogspot.com http://www.tvyespectaculos.com/category/ricardo-arjona/ http://skidmoresignal.blogspot.com/ http://feminizationcomment.blogspot.com http://msnhangulatjelek.blogspot.com/search/label/boci http://alexbube.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://gluten-free-blog.blogspot.com/2009/02/buckwheat-chocolate-chip-cookies-recipe.html http://faithlessnessvideo.blogspot.com http://bocariver.

Posted by: videos graciososd | July 01, 2010 01:37 PM

http://www.abkhazia.com/component/content/article/65-/318-the-rise-of-an-early-georgian-kingdom-of-colchis.html http://www.frieze.com/issue/article/tomorrow_never_comes1/ http://forgottenhits60s.blogspot.com/2009_11_08_archive.html http://www.magistrix.de/lyrics/UnsraW/Warai-Oni-221502.html http://www.theoverstream-guyana.blogspot.com/ http://bingomollybongo.blogspot.com/ http://dharmavskarma.blogspot.com/ http://lemploidutemps.blogspot.com/2009_0

Posted by: lady marmalade yu tube | July 01, 2010 02:18 PM

http://www.armada.mde.es/ArmadaPortal/page/Portal/ArmadaEspannola/_inicio_buscador/ http://www.pinoyparazzi.com/reunion-ng-ex-lovers/ http://genio.80code.com/bekkan/pbbsnm/index.php http://www.bassresource.com/bass_fishing_forums/YaBB.pl http://mindthebridge.blogspot.com/2009/11/finalists-200910.html http://yukstravel.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://surviveabide.com/ http://mounadil.blogspot.com/ http://imitza.blogspot.com

Posted by: gasparis laura video | July 01, 2010 03:40 PM

http://lamentgoth.blogspot.com/ http://docedoce.net/?p=1820 http://www.dialau.de/bleche.php http://emiliacloseness.blogspot.com http://breadpenknives.blogspot.com http://frizzlesvideo.blogspot.com http://lucarimablog.blogspot.com/ http://a-gitate.blogspot.com/2009/01/grapefruits-or-pomelos.html http://www.hookit.com/members/abalienation/?ilc=newsfeed&feed=NewFriendship http://relmstein.blogspot.com/2010/01/blizzards-new-mmo-and-fps-rumour.ht

Posted by: andy messersmith video | July 01, 2010 05:03 PM

http://tobymelt.blogspot.com/2005/10/cosmopolitan-me-40-years-old_11.html http://contemptiblenessmichelle.blogspot.com http://diblognet.blogspot.com/ http://eavesrhinestone.blogspot.com http://cameraamounts.blogspot.com http://garrettheonion.blogspot.com/2006/10/yes-they-do-have-blue-balls.html http://dimaggiofigurines.blogspot.com http://www.musik-live.net/play-music-codes.php?name=Peterpan-Tak_Ada_Yang_Abadi&src=yt&id=ENwatzwYNFU http:/

Posted by: meteor video | July 01, 2010 06:25 PM

http://wer-ist-robert.blogspot.com/2006/06/wasserbruch.html http://ewantotted.blogspot.com http://avanzapormas.blogspot.com/search/label/BLEST http://saharanvibe.blogspot.com/2007/07/blaise-compaore-burkina.html http://www.stagepass.com/software/browse_item_detail.hperl?instrument=fiddle&invnum=14037213 http://www.smashbroschile.cl/foros/index.php http://headbuttingaeromechanics.blogspot.com http://www.mytractorforum.com/index.php http://came

Posted by: malika video | July 01, 2010 07:06 PM

http://harshmanpugilist.blogspot.com http://hazellorganisms.blogspot.com http://news.aaa-calif.com/pr/aaa/electronic.aspx http://www.sddt.com/Law/article.cfm?SourceCode=20041119tzc http://triumphbobbers.blogspot.com/ http://www.katrix.com.br/orkut/search/1/abaid.htm http://gallopingparadigm.blogspot.com http://rudo-poeta.blogspot.com/2007/06/blog-post.html http://portal.abadiasantamaria.org/index.php http://www.yyyd.com/index.php http://www.sau

Posted by: teppei koike u tube | July 01, 2010 09:11 PM

Your website is very great. I enjoyed your website a lot. Thank you.

Posted by: pay day loans | July 02, 2010 07:38 AM

http://permanentstyle.blogspot.com/2008/06/how-to-buy-luxury-globetrotter.html http://bytebush.blogspot.com/2006/01/pat-robertson-worlds-biggest-asshole.html http://employervideos.blogspot.com http://frewincongesting.blogspot.com http://dissidenceyoutube.blogspot.com http://urtnicaragua.com/ http://drippingvideo.blogspot.com http://ayurvedasanjeevani.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?orderby=updated http://fortuitousgirton.blogspot.com http://www

Posted by: owl jolson yu tube | July 02, 2010 02:02 PM

http://globalwidespreadpanic.blogspot.com/2008/05/ari-feld.html http://patricksum.blogspot.com/ http://garcialyricist.blogspot.com http://kidzborn2impress.blogspot.com/2009/10/barbar-hair-dryer-review-and-giveaway.html http://airmailsdebbie.blogspot.com http://www.rcplanes.fr/encyclopedie?view=mediawiki&article=Embl%25C3%25A8me_de_l%27Inde http://aam.hct.ac.ae/common_links/library.htm http://kirkseufert.blogspot.com/ http://crizallide.blogspo

Posted by: intermixture video | July 03, 2010 06:06 AM

http://www.uxnmitc.xpg.com.br/pearl-nee1/chinababo.html http://exoticwoman.blogspot.com/ http://freaksexige.blogspot.com http://www.vitaminshoppe.com/tabacum.shtml http://beyondbabylon.blogspot.com/2010/02/david-ben-ariel-at-blyde-river-canyon.html http://saltydiver.blogspot.com/2007/04/re-salty-diver.html http://finanzportal.blogspot.com/ http://elpoema-objeto.blogspot.com/ http://foolhardinessmariam.blogspot.com http://www.abortionaccess.info/

Posted by: beyonce knowles yu tube | July 03, 2010 11:31 AM

http://www.cnet.ngo.net.au/content/view/48345/145/ http://brian-mountainman.blogspot.com/2009/10/bluestones-all-over-place.html http://tierstimmen.blogspot.com/2008_02_01_archive.html http://www.songtexte.com/artist/abacinate-2bd4941e.html http://competitionvideo.blogspot.com http://missrodeonewmexico2009.blogspot.com/ http://www.abadargentina.com.ar/videos.htm http://clipsgoaltender.blogspot.com http://nicecelebrity.blogspot.com/2008_04_01_archi

Posted by: jane froman utube | July 03, 2010 04:56 PM

http://www.soummam.org/Azzedine-Meddour.html http://www.tessothy.blogspot.com/ http://megandelphiaalexander.blogspot.com/ http://2weekwait.blogspot.com/2007_01_01_archive.html http://expendablelooter.blogspot.com http://fayettevilledailydemocrat.blogspot.com/2009/11/sparta-of-ozarks.html http://thegreybear.blogspot.com/2008_06_01_archive.html http://www.matchdoctor.com/profile_harr.html http://marcelaburgos.blogspot.com/2009/06/monografico-de-jab

Posted by: hust vip video | July 03, 2010 10:22 PM

http://fuerstenberger-gartentag.blogspot.com/ http://dream3ternity.blogspot.com/ http://philosophyovercoffee.blogspot.com/ http://bob-baker.blogspot.com/ http://hlsearch.blogspot.com/ http://eco-stylista.blogspot.com/ http://leadingthefuture.blogspot.com/2007/05/marketing-workshop-at-jenny-wiley-state.html http://bloxwatch.blogspot.com/ http://librarytypos.blogspot.com/2010/05/boradcast-for-broadcast.html http://rturner229.blogspot.com/2005/09/k

Posted by: frank finocchio video | July 07, 2010 04:35 AM

www.glassracetrack.com is great! Payday Loans Why Payday Loans Have Become a Great Lifesaver to Get Through to Your Net Pay Day

Posted by: toronto payday loans | July 12, 2010 04:05 AM

Your website is very useful. Thank you very much for presenting a whole lot of usable insight. I am going to bookmark your web publication and will be without doubt returning. Once again, I truly appreciate all your work together with sharing much practical related information for the followers.

Posted by: loans | August 25, 2010 08:53 AM

rrbzmqjzyyxrytrygnzfygsjebccongtqgg

Posted by: loans british columbia | September 02, 2010 08:32 AM

This site is a complete internet resource for this. You'll find all you wanted or needed to know, here.

Posted by: canadian payday loans | September 22, 2010 01:06 PM

Easily, the publish is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the wonderful lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise! ftjvdpmkyar

Posted by: no faxing loans | September 23, 2010 11:51 AM

Thanks for making such a killer blog. I come on here all the time and am floored with the fresh information here.

Posted by: no fax loans | September 26, 2010 12:02 PM

Pretty good post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed reading your blog posts. Any way I'll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you post again soon.

Posted by: cash advance loans canada | September 26, 2010 09:48 PM

Wow! Thank you! I always wanted to write in my site something like that. Can I take part of your post to my blog?

Posted by: bad credit loan in canada | September 27, 2010 10:47 AM

Great concepts on this website. It's rare these days to find websites with data you are seeking. I am happy I chanced on this webpage. I will certainly bookmark it or even register for your rss feeds simply to be updated on your new posts. Keep up the nice job and I'm sure some other folks researching valued information will actually stop by and benefit from your website for resources.

Posted by: bad credit loans | September 28, 2010 01:08 AM

Exceptional read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing a little research on that. And he actually bought me lunch because I found it for him smile So let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch!

Posted by: loans bc | September 28, 2010 11:18 AM

Thanks for excellent news! Your website is really useful for me. I bookmarked your online site!

Posted by: payday loan ontario | September 29, 2010 01:43 AM

Great news, everyone! Today all of us covetous of needs quest of some fertile patch of mend and harmony. Completele the joined is http://thecutestsiteintheworld.com - this site.

Posted by: adhebsida | October 02, 2010 10:50 AM

I must say that overall I'm highly taken with this webpage. It is apparent that you know you subject matter and you are passionate about it. I wish I had got your ability to write. I have bookmarked your internet site and look forward to more updates.

Posted by: lose weight | October 02, 2010 09:34 PM

Easily, the submit is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the fantastic lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise!

Posted by: personal credit loans | October 03, 2010 10:49 PM

This article gives the light in which we can observe the reality. This is especially nice one and gives in-depth information. Thanks for this nice article.

Posted by: bad credit loans | October 14, 2010 10:49 AM

This web site is a complete net resource for this. You'll find all you wanted or needed to know, here.

Posted by: bad credit loans | October 15, 2010 02:07 PM

Easily, the post is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the great lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise!

Posted by: loans for people with bad credit | October 16, 2010 11:19 AM

I will submit a link to this blog on my web page. I'm sure my readers will find this info really awesome.

Posted by: loan money canada | October 17, 2010 12:31 PM

Hi buddy, exceptionally informative post. Please keep them coming.

Posted by: payday loan application | October 18, 2010 05:31 PM

Easily, the submit is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the brilliant lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise!

Posted by: loans for bad credit people | October 19, 2010 06:44 PM

The post is really the best on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your future updates. Just saying thanks will not just be enough, for the exceptional lucidity in your writing. I will at once grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. De delightful work and much success in your business dealings!

Posted by: laptop computers | October 20, 2010 08:47 AM

Thanks for such a impressive submit and also the examine, I'm totally impressed! Keep stuff like this coming.

Posted by: loan | October 20, 2010 04:32 PM

Fantastic read, I just passed this onto a colleague who was doing a little research on that. And he actually bought me lunch because I found it for him smile So let me rephrase that: Thanks for lunch!

Posted by: loan with bad credit | October 21, 2010 09:34 AM

This website is the recommended web-site.

Posted by: loan for bad credit history | October 25, 2010 11:41 PM

This website is the most reliable web property.

Posted by: loan bad credit canada | October 26, 2010 11:20 AM

This website is the superior world wide web site.

Posted by: cash advance lenders | October 27, 2010 02:15 PM

This website is the most popular internet sites.

Posted by: loan without credit check | October 29, 2010 04:15 PM

This website is the most useful world wide web site.

Posted by: bad credit loan personal canada | October 30, 2010 10:53 AM

This website is the highest quality world wide web site.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 02, 2010 12:24 AM

This website is the incredibly best web site.

Posted by: payday loans ontario canada | November 02, 2010 03:49 PM

This website is the ideal online site.

Posted by: bad credit loans canada | November 03, 2010 12:34 PM

This website is the most effective ?nternet site.

Posted by: bad credit loans | November 04, 2010 03:19 PM

This website is the superior world wide web site.

Posted by: bad credit loan | November 05, 2010 02:57 PM

This website is the perfect web site.

Posted by: bad credit loans canada | November 06, 2010 08:52 AM

This website is the most desirable online site.

Posted by: cash advance loans bad credit | November 06, 2010 04:30 PM

This website is the most effective online site.

Posted by: bad credit loans toronto | November 07, 2010 10:14 AM

This website is the top world-wide-web page.

Posted by: online cash advance canada | November 10, 2010 12:38 AM

This website is the ultimate web property.

Posted by: loans with bad credit | November 10, 2010 01:47 PM

This website is the most excellent web property.

Posted by: cash advance canada | November 10, 2010 11:24 PM

This website is the incredibly best internet site.

Posted by: get loan with bad credit | November 11, 2010 02:04 PM

This website is the top rated web-site.

Posted by: apply for loans canada | November 12, 2010 12:29 AM

This website is the highest quality web blog.

Posted by: cash advance online | November 12, 2010 11:28 AM

This website is the most helpful blog site.

Posted by: payday loans | November 13, 2010 09:51 AM

This website is the most popular web-site.

Posted by: get a loan with bad credit | November 13, 2010 09:43 PM

This website is the leading web blog.

Posted by: national cash advance | November 14, 2010 11:08 AM

This website is the optimum web site.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 19, 2010 03:50 PM

This website is the most helpful online site.

Posted by: loans bad credit canada | November 20, 2010 10:19 AM

This website is the best web site.

Posted by: diet for quick weight loss | November 25, 2010 09:30 PM

This website is the highest quality site.

Posted by: organic mattress | December 07, 2010 11:46 PM

This website is the greatest website. jhswmveh

Posted by: payday loans | December 18, 2010 05:50 PM

This website is the top web blog. btxpynqf

Posted by: student financial aid | December 19, 2010 12:57 PM

This website is the optimum online site. jtejdxtd

Posted by: sample resume | December 23, 2010 12:42 AM

I am looking for football online watch free. How can I find it?

Posted by: football online | December 25, 2010 07:58 AM

Thank you for your information about ???????: ?????????????????

Posted by: bbc football | January 04, 2011 04:50 AM

Thanks for the info about ???????: ?????????????????

Posted by: calendar template | January 08, 2011 11:17 AM

Your post about ???????: ????????????????? rocks!

Posted by: payday loan online | January 09, 2011 01:10 PM

Amazing post about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: digital photo frame | January 09, 2011 07:52 PM

Unfogettable post about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: fitness gym | January 10, 2011 07:12 AM

Unbelievable post about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: green home | January 10, 2011 02:27 PM

Very very nice post about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: hair removal | January 10, 2011 09:31 PM

I appreciate all your hard work and your post about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: home made pizza | January 11, 2011 07:07 AM

Excellent read about ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: school grants | January 13, 2011 07:38 AM

Brilliant blogpost in relation to ???????: ?????????????????!

Posted by: payday loan advance | January 14, 2011 06:45 AM

Getting monetary issues is just one of those with these types of; it can benefit you receive performances in your neighborhood vefy first. RSS feeeds allow you to quickly keep in touch with each other. Boy dress up games involve the creation of an avatar.

Posted by: woozworld hack | April 20, 2014 02:10 PM

It's hard to come by knowledgeable people in this particular topic, however, you seem like you know what you're talking about! Thanks

Posted by: clicking here | July 16, 2015 07:23 PM

Please let me know if you're looking for a writer for your weblog. You have some really good articles and I think I would be a good asset. If you ever want to take some of the load off, I'd absolutely love to write some material for your blog in exchange for a link back to mine. Please shoot me an e-mail if interested. Thanks!

Posted by: lasertest | September 04, 2015 08:24 PM

Post a comment