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元気があればG1も勝てる!

Rudolf_22

今回は◎からいきましょう。メイショウトウコンです。前走の平安Sでは、Sバッカスと「闘魂」は強い競馬をしていたと思います。1000mを1,02,2で通過するような先行馬ペースをなんなく差しきるというのはナカナカのものです。

バッカスの鞍上の安藤Jにはいつも感心させられますねえ。先行馬が、6ハロン目から急激にペースを上げたところを見逃さず、スパートをかけてます。6ハロンから7ハロン目のラップは11,8でした。速いですね。ここで仕掛けなければ先行馬の逃げ切りを許していたでしょうね。彼にはレースの流れを読みきる嗅覚があるんですね。バッカスも馬体に余裕があってフェブラリーでは更に前進が期待できます。この馬にも印が必要です。

「闘魂」の方はのんびりしてましたよ。安藤Jが仕掛けてもまだ動こうとしないんですから。それでいて、直線だけで全馬を呑み込んでしまう末脚を繰り出すというのはナカナカです。「はまった」というものではなかったと思います。バッカスはこれまでもフェブラリーやJCDで健闘してきたG1で通用する力量の持ち主です。バッカスをものさしにすると「闘魂」もG1で力を発揮できると思います。新年早々見解が違ってしまいましたねえ。

前回の手紙で、本当に地味な血脈、エスサーディー系がフェブラリーでは大活躍をしていると書きました。エスサーディー系のもつ素晴らしい底力がわかりますね。この活躍はわずか10年の間に集中しています。これが血の勢いというものです。「闘魂」は社台が育てたシャダイプリマから出ている血統です。80年代はダイナコスモスやカッティングエッジを出して注目されましたが、その後少し低迷していました。ところがこの数年クラフトマンシップやクラフトワーク、そして今年の金杯でシャドウゲイトを出して勢いを取り戻しています。「闘魂」は社台の生産馬ではありませんが、血はまさにメイドイン社台です。最近、20年前、30年前に社台が導入した血があちこちで開花していますよね。心強いかぎりです。そしてシャダイプリマとはかなり離れていますが、アグネスデジタルも「闘魂」の一族のようです。元気があればG1も勝てる!

根岸Sで強いと思ったのはシーキングザベストです。この馬はどんな展開になってもへこたれませんね。レースはNPサートが追い込んでくるようなペースでしたがベストは先行して2着をきちんと確保しています。馬場不問、展開不問というのが名馬の条件です。配合をみるとますます買ってみたくなります。バックパサーとウォーアドミラルのクロスがあって、見かけよりうんと力強い馬だと思います。もちろん成長力もあります。おまけに母系がラトロワンヌとくればいうことなし、○です。

週末の天気は雨かなあ。先行馬が有利だとは思いますが、案外こんなとき、「我先に」という騎手心理が働いて必要以上にペースがあがるものです。そう考えると「闘魂」に出番が回ってくるかも知れません。「先行馬そろったときの先行馬」「逃げ馬いないときの追い込み馬」とは昔ながらの馬券作戦ですが、今回は「逃げ馬いないときの追い込み馬」の展開からも「闘魂」を狙いましょう。先行馬のなかではザベストの配合のよさを買いましょう。

ブルーコンコルドは▲ですね。名門アストニシメント系エベレストの復活をみたいものです。しかし、この馬については治郎丸さんと同じで、少々危さを感じています。最近のコンコルドの馬体をみると、ゴツゴツしてパワータイプに成長したのかなあと感じています。ここは見解は同じで、一安心と・・・。ただオールドファンのこのおやじは心のなかでしっかり応援しますよ。

フィールドルージュは無印にします。昨年のJCDでは△を打って3着にがんばってくれたのでちょっと応援したくなります。しかしこの馬、リンドシェーバー、ルドルフ、モガミとくる母系が重すぎやしませんか。JCDでこそ、頑張れる血統です。勢いのないアマゾンウォリアー系というのも気になっています。その昔メジロイーグルという胸のすくような逃げを見せてくれる馬がいました。彼もこの血統でした。その妹でメジロエマという条件馬がいてこれはダートで本当に気持ちのよい追い込みを見せてくれました。ルージュはエマに似てますね。もうあれから30年も過ぎたのか、このおやじはいったい何をしてきたのか、なんて言うのはちょっとさびしいかな。かわいい馬ですが今回は見送ります。平安Sで同じ位置取りをしていたバッカスや「闘魂」の前にルージュがゴール板を通過することはないんじゃないかなあ。

シーキングザベストが根岸Sで強い競馬をしたと書きましたが、ビッググラスもナカナカのものでした。道中の折り合いが実にすばらしい!こういう折り合いのいい馬は強いですよ。母系は地味ですが、父のエルコンドルに賭けてみたくなります。胸前が厚いところなどはいかにもエルコンドルという感じでとてもいいですね。ザベストの○と迷ったほどですが、週末の雨が気になって△にしました。こう見てくると今年はエベレストを頂点として日本の血統も頑張っているな、という印象をもちました。

さて印をまとめておきますか。
◎メイショウトウコン
○シーキングザベスト
▲ブルーコンコルド
△ビッググラス
△サンライズバッカス

厚めに買いたいのは「闘魂」-ザベストと「闘魂」-グラスのフォーカスです。
魔よけにザベストとグラスの縦目も少々。

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Comments

毎度です。ルドルフおやじさんの闘魂に賭ける想いが伝わってきます。
前の時にもコメントしましたが、前走のトウコンは本当に圧巻でした。Sペースを直線だけで飲み込んだのはインパクトがありました。武幸もこういう馬の方が良さげなんで一発ある可能性は十分かと思います。
フィールドルージュは微妙ですね。京都で1800D良を1分49秒台で走ってるので時計勝負もOKと思うのですが、馬体重を減らさないと鈍くなってる気がします。ここは3着辺りがあるという狙いで良いかと思います。
アジュディミツオー等の先行馬が揃っている関係から差し馬有利になる可能性が高いと考えています。それでもアジュディミツオーは2~5着以内に残ると思っていますが。
ブルーコンコルドはスピードもあるのですが、時計勝負で勝ち切れていないのがどうしても気がかり。但し、こういう馬は突然にそういう懸念を全く吹き飛ばす様な圧勝をする事もあるので無印にはしにくいですね。
シーキングザのダイヤは勝ちきれない。時にアジュディミツオーが出走しているレースでは相性が悪い様な気がする。ペースが早くなると末が甘くなる感じでしょうか。これも2~3着狙いかな。ベストは確かに武蔵野Sで勝利していますから甘くは見れないのですが、G1では物足りない気がしています。前走を難なく勝っていれば評価が高いのですが。。
では1着候補はと言うと、トウコンとサンライズバッカスです。ビッググラスも検討しましたが、鞍上に不安を覚えます。また前走は前半で10秒台のラップが2回刻まれているので展開が向いたとも取れそうです。
早めの最終フォーカスですが、3連単で(命知らずの冒険)フォーメーション
⑥⑫-④⑥⑫-④②⑧⑮(15点位かな?)

節分も終わったし、運気も変わっている事を期待しています!!!あ、コンコルド全然買ってないわ。大丈夫かしら。。

Posted by: はやひで | February 16, 2007 11:54 PM

はやひでさん、おはようございます。
年寄りには早起きという特技があります。

気合のコメントに眠気もふっとびました。
「あ、コンコルド全然買ってないわ。」という結び、勢いがあっていいですねえ。

このおやじは小心者であれこれ買いたい方なんですが、あれこれ迷って買ってろくなことはありませんね。気合でスパっと買う方が結果がいいような気がします。闘魂ですよ、闘魂!

恥ずかしながら、闘魂の騎手については全く考えてませんでした。幸四郎J、最近お顔も引き締まっていいんじゃないですか。

グラスについては、ちょっとはやひでさんとは見解が違いまして、前半の10秒のラップ2回に助けられたのは、Nサートだけで、グラスとベストは自分で競馬をつくっていたように見えました。

さて、明日を楽しみに今日も仕事をがんばるとしますか。
競馬があれば仕事もできる!

Posted by: ルドルフおやじ | February 17, 2007 06:44 AM

コンコルド・・・・。Σ( ̄□ ̄;!!!

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