« 豪腕 | Main | 激しい舞台には芝は生えない »

フェブラリーSをラップから占う

Febs

まずはほとんどの有力馬が出走していた昨年のJCダートから。前半57秒7-後半61秒9というラップ構成は馬場状態を考慮しても、過去のJCダートの中でも最もレベルの高いレースのひとつである。力が正直に反映されたレースでもあり、このレースで上位入線した馬が、その後も活躍しているのは当然である。

JCダート(レベルS)
7.1 - 10.7 - 11.9 - 11.7 - 11.5 - 11.9 - 12.6 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 12.0 - 12.5(57.7-61.9) 2:06.7
川崎記念(レベルB)
6.9 - 10.9 - 12.3 - 14.0 - 13.2 - 13.8 - 13.8 - 11.5 - 12.0 - 12.8 - 11.9(64.2-62.0) 2:13:1

幸いにも川崎記念が同じ距離(2100m)で行われているので、比べてみてもらいたい。前半500mまではほぼ同じようなラップを刻んでいるが、中盤は明らかに川崎記念のラップが緩んでいることが分かる。小回りの川崎競馬場は、どうしてもスピードを緩めてコーナーを回らざるを得ないため、ペースが必然的に緩んでしまうからである。JCダートで2着したフィールドルージュの力を持ってすれば、ゴール前余力を持っての勝利も当然で、JCダート後に急激に強くなったというわけではない。

ガーネットS(レベルB)
12.0 - 10.3 - 10.8 - 11.4 - 12.2 - 13.7(33.1-37.3) 1:10.4
12.1 - 10.3 - 11.3 - 12.3 - 12.7 - 13.5(33.7-38.5) 1:12.2 500万下

年明けのガーネットSは例年通り「上がり不問のレース」となり、逃げたタイセイアトムが逃げ切った。同日に行われた500万下のレースと比べてみると、時計の差(1秒8)と同じ、もしくはそれ以上のレベルにあり、決してレベルが低いということはない。

根岸S(レベルC´)
12.2 - 10.7 - 11.4 - 12.0 - 11.9 - 12.0 - 12.5(34.3-36.4) 1:22.7
12.2 - 10.8 - 11.4 - 11.8 - 12.5 - 12.6 - 12.9(34.4-38.0) 1:24.2 500万下

参考
2001年根岸S ノボトゥルー(レベルB´)
12.5 - 10.7 - 11.2 - 11.8 - 12.2 - 12.1 - 11.6(34.4-35.9)

その証拠にタイシンアトムは根岸Sでも2着に粘ったわけだが、このレースを同日の500万下と比べてみると、それほどレベルの高いレースではないことが分かる。ノボトゥルーが勝った2001年のレースラップと比べてみても、前半を34秒3で行ったのであれば、少なくとも後半は35秒台でまとめて欲しかった。内枠で砂を被って厳しいレースになってしまったワイルドワンダー以外の馬は、本番であるフェブラリーSには繋がらない内容であった。

平安S(レベルA)
12.5 - 11.2 - 12.4 - 12.4 - 12.8 - 12.3 - 12.2 - 12.3 - 12.9(48.5-49.7) 1:51.0
12.5 - 11.6 - 13.1 - 13.2 - 13.2 - 12.7 - 12.4 - 12.4 - 12.5(50.4-50.0) 1:53.6

平安Sは前日に行われた500万下のレースと比較してみると、そのレベルの高さが分かる。どちらも時計の出やすいやや重馬場で行われたものだが、この2つのレースには時計以上のレベル差がある。勝ったクワイエットデイも十分に評価して良いし、ここで負けたメイショウトウコンやロングプライド、ボンネビルレコード、ドラゴンファイヤーの巻き返しも期待できる。


関連エントリ
ガラスの競馬場:根岸Sの分析

現在のランキング順位はこちら


|

Comments

Your website is very great. I enjoyed your website a lot. Thank you.

Posted by: faxless payday loans | July 02, 2010 12:15 PM

www.glassracetrack.com is great! Bid Adieu to Your Cash Problems With Same Day Payday Loans In such times same day payday loans turn out to be handy option Wondering what this new loan product has to

Posted by: toronto payday loans | July 12, 2010 05:09 AM

Your blog page is great. Say thanks to you greatly for giving a whole lot of practical advise. I am going to bookmark your web site and will be certainly coming back. Again, I respect your work furthermore supplying plenty of precious information and facts for the people.

Posted by: faxless payday loans | August 25, 2010 10:12 AM

zisoehzswumufdvnrbhkeoaalyjgydwsabb

Posted by: bc loans | September 02, 2010 09:50 AM

This site is a complete internet resource for this. You'll find all you wanted or needed to know, here.

Posted by: canadian payday loans | September 22, 2010 11:01 AM

Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Take care. aobdervnmmm

Posted by: no faxing loans | September 23, 2010 09:54 AM

Do you have any more info on this?

Posted by: loans online no fax | September 26, 2010 10:08 AM

Greetings everyone, This webpage is excellent and so is how the matter was expanded. I like some of the comments as well although I would prefer we all keep it on topic in order add value to the subject. It will be

Posted by: loans canada | September 26, 2010 07:54 PM

Very useful article. Myself & my neighbor were preparing to do some research about that. We got a good book on that matter from our local library and most books were not as descriptive as your information. I am very glad to see such information which I was searching for a long time.

Posted by: bad credit loan in canada | September 27, 2010 08:47 AM

Finally, an issue that I am passionate about. I have looked for information of this caliber for the last several hours. Your site is greatly appreciated.

Posted by: bad credit loans toronto | September 27, 2010 11:06 PM

This site is a complete internet resource for this. You'll find all you wanted or needed to know, here.

Posted by: loan in british columbia | September 28, 2010 09:22 AM

I am doing some thing of the same interest and will be taking note on this .Thanks.

Posted by: payday loans ontario | September 28, 2010 11:28 PM

Pretty fine submit. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say that I have really enjoyed reading your blog posts. Any way I'll be subscribing to your feed and I hope you submit again soon.

Posted by: weight loss | October 02, 2010 08:23 PM

Thanks for sharing your thoughts. Take care.

Posted by: personal credit loans | October 03, 2010 09:38 PM

Exceptionally useful article. Myself & my neighbor were preparing to do some research about that. We got a superb book on that matter from our local library and most books were not as descriptive as your information. I am extremely glad to see such information which I was searching for a long time.

Posted by: bad credit loans calgary | October 15, 2010 11:53 AM

Easily, the submit is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the wonderful lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise!

Posted by: loans for people with bad credit | October 16, 2010 09:20 AM

This site is awesome. I constantly come across something new & different right here. Thank you for that data.

Posted by: loan money store | October 17, 2010 10:29 AM

A particularly nice niche blog, and a perfect design there sparks Simplicity yet complex algorithm of the net. Thank You.

Posted by: payday loan application online | October 18, 2010 03:30 PM

I must say that overall I'm incredibly taken with this web-site. It is apparent that you know you subject matter and you are passionate about it. I wish I had got your ability to write. I have bookmarked your webpage and look forward to more updates.

Posted by: best loans for bad credit people | October 19, 2010 04:42 PM

Very well, the post is actually the sweetest on this deserving topic. I agree with your conclusions and will eagerly look forward to your incoming updates. Just saying thanks will not just be adequate, for the terrific clarity in your writing. I will at once grab your rss feed to stay informed of any updates. Fantastic work and much success in your business endeavors!

Posted by: laptop deals | October 20, 2010 07:14 AM

Thanks for such a superb publish and also the overview, I am totally impressed! Keep stuff like this coming.

Posted by: loan | October 20, 2010 03:06 PM

Easily, the post is really the greatest on this laudable topic. I concur with your conclusions and will thirstily look forward to your future updates. Saying thanks will not just be sufficient, for the great lucidity in your writing. I will instantly grab your rss feed to stay privy of any updates. Solid work and much success in your business enterprise!

Posted by: loan with bad credit | October 21, 2010 08:07 AM

This website is the most reliable website.

Posted by: loan for bad credit | October 25, 2010 10:09 PM

This website is the prime web-site.

Posted by: personal loan bad credit canada | October 26, 2010 09:29 AM

This website is the highest quality website.

Posted by: cash advance lenders | October 27, 2010 12:41 PM

This website is the very best web portal.

Posted by: loan without credit check | October 28, 2010 08:10 AM

This website is the most helpful web-site.

Posted by: bad credit loan personal canada | October 30, 2010 08:16 AM

This website is the finest world-wide-web site.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 01, 2010 10:08 PM

This website is the perfect world-wide-web site.

Posted by: payday loans ontario | November 02, 2010 01:41 PM

This website is the ultimate world-wide-web site.

Posted by: bad credit loans in canada | November 03, 2010 10:35 AM

This website is the incredibly best internet site.

Posted by: bad credit loans | November 04, 2010 01:20 PM

This website is the most reliable internet sites.

Posted by: bad credit loan | November 05, 2010 01:00 PM

This website is the highest quality world-wide-web site.

Posted by: bad credit loans canada | November 06, 2010 07:22 AM

This website is the leading world-wide-web page.

Posted by: cash advance loans | November 06, 2010 02:48 PM

This website is the best online site.

Posted by: bad credit loans toronto | November 07, 2010 08:48 AM

This website is the most effective site.

Posted by: payday cash advance canada | November 09, 2010 10:55 PM

This website is the most desirable world wide web site.

Posted by: personal loans with bad credit canada | November 10, 2010 12:13 PM

This website is the top ?nternet site.

Posted by: canada cash advance | November 10, 2010 09:49 PM

This website is the very best world-wide-web page.

Posted by: get loan with bad credit | November 11, 2010 12:34 PM

This website is the most popular web portal.

Posted by: apply for loans | November 11, 2010 10:49 PM

This website is the prime world-wide-web page.

Posted by: cash advance | November 12, 2010 09:55 AM

This website is the leading web property.

Posted by: payday loans | November 13, 2010 08:17 AM

This website is the preferred website.

Posted by: loan bad credit | November 13, 2010 07:24 PM

This website is the prime web portal.

Posted by: national cash advance | November 14, 2010 09:38 AM

This website is the finest internet site.

Posted by: personal loans bad credit | November 19, 2010 02:09 PM

This website is the ideal internet site.

Posted by: loans bad credit canada | November 20, 2010 08:46 AM

This website is the right website.

Posted by: diet for quick weight loss | November 25, 2010 08:15 PM

This website is the superior web property.

Posted by: organic mattress | December 07, 2010 10:07 PM

This website is the leading web blog. weislfti

Posted by: payday loans | December 18, 2010 04:06 PM

This website is the ideal web site. ncptzodk

Posted by: student financial aid | December 19, 2010 11:09 AM

This website is the prime world wide web site. ouzjxwmf

Posted by: sample resume | December 22, 2010 10:23 PM

I am looking for play football online for kids. How can I find it?

Posted by: football online | December 25, 2010 03:41 AM

Thanks for the info about ???????: ??????S????????

Posted by: calendar template | January 08, 2011 09:45 AM

Your post about ???????: ??????S???????? rocks!

Posted by: payday loan online | January 09, 2011 11:38 AM

Amazing post about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: digital photo frame | January 09, 2011 06:54 PM

Unfogettable post about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: fitness gym | January 10, 2011 06:00 AM

Unbelievable post about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: green home | January 10, 2011 12:57 PM

Very very nice post about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: hair removal | January 10, 2011 08:14 PM

I appreciate all your hard work and your post about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: home made pizza | January 11, 2011 05:54 AM

Excellent read about ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: school grants | January 13, 2011 03:11 AM

Significant blogpost all over ???????: ??????S????????!

Posted by: payday loan advance | January 14, 2011 02:20 AM

Post a comment