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桜花賞のラップ分析

Okasyo

最もスピードのある優秀な牝馬および、優秀な繁殖牝馬を選定する目的で、1947年に京都競馬場の1600mを舞台として桜花賞は始まった。その後、阪神競馬場に舞台が移され、昨年からは、新設された外回りコースでレースが行われるようになった。このことによって、勝ち馬に求められる資質が大きく違ってくることは間違いがない。

過去10年のレースラップは以下のとおり。

12.5-10.9-10.9-11.6-11.8-12.6-11.3-12.4(45.9-48.1)H
12.7-11.0-11.4-11.9-11.9-12.3-11.6-12.7(47.0-48.5)H
12.5-11.0-10.9-11.9-11.9-12.0-12.1-12.6(46.3-48.6)H
12.4-11.3-11.7-12.3-11.8-11.4-11.4-12.1(47.7-46.7)S
12.2-11.2-11.6-11.9-11.6-11.7-11.5-12.6(46.9-47.4)M
12.4-11.3-11.3-11.7-11.7-11.8-11.5-12.2(46.7-47.2)M
12.4-10.9-11.4-12.1-12.2-11.8-11.1-11.7(46.8-46.8)M
12.2-10.4-11.2-12.3-11.9-12.0-11.5-12.0(46.1-47.4)H
12.5-10.9-11.4-11.9-12.1-12.1-11.5-12.2(46.7-47.9)H
12.7-11.6-11.4-12.1-12.0-11.6-10.6-11.7(47.8-45.9)S

新阪神コースで行われるようになった昨年のレースラップと、それ以前のそれを比べると、明らかな違いが見て取れる。違いが現れたのは、スタートから2ハロン目とラストから2ハロン目の部分である(赤字)。過去10年のレースラップ中、昨年のレースのスタートから2ハロン目は最も遅く、ラストから2ハロン目は最も速い。昨年のレースを勝利したダイワスカーレットはラストから2ハロン目で10秒6という驚異的な瞬発力を発揮したが、これは前半部分(特に2ハロン目)で楽をして脚が溜められていたからと考えることも出来るだろう。

新阪神コースの1600m戦は、向こう正面奥のポケット地点からのスタートで、最初のコーナーである3コーナーまでの距離は444mと長いため、極端なポジション争いはなく、最後の直線が長いことも意識され、前半2ハロンはほとんど無理をすることなくスムーズに流れるのである。

また、前半だけではなく、中盤も緩んでいるのが特徴である。3コーナーにある残り5ハロン標識を切ってから、非常に緩やかなカーブが4コーナーまで続くため、各馬ゆったりとコーナーリングを開始する。旧阪神1600mのコースであれば、3コーナーから4コーナーにかけての擬似直線で前との差を詰めることができたが、新阪神1600mのコースではそれができない。一度、コーナーを回り始めると、遠心力に身を任せながらゆっくりと4コーナーまで走ることになる。だからこそ、先行馬はここで息を入れて、最後の直線に向くまでにスタミナを温存することができる。

最後の直線は474mもあり、差し馬にとっては脚を余すということがなくなったが、3~4コーナーで楽をしている分、先行馬も簡単には止まらない。結局は、最後の長い直線での究極の瞬発力勝負で勝敗は決することになる。もちろん、最後に急坂が待ち構えているので、スタミナに欠ける馬はここで脱落してしまうことになる。実力がはっきりと反映されるコースというよりも、ある程度のスタミナに支えられた瞬発力のある馬にとっては最適の舞台となるコースである。

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