シンザン記念を当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

■朝日杯フューチュリティS好走組優位
この時期に行われる3歳重賞ということもあって、朝日杯フューチュリティSで結果を出せなかった居残り組みと、これから上を目指す素質馬のぶつかり合いという図式となる。過去の戦績から見ると、完成度が高い前者が有利で、特に朝日杯フューチュリティSで好勝負していた馬が順調に出走してくれば、ほぼ間違いなく勝ち負けになる。
■前々で競馬が出来る瞬発力に富んだ馬
同じ時期の同条件で行われる京都金杯と比べ、頭数が少なくなることもあって、ペースはスローに落ちることが多い。開幕2週目で前が止まりにくい馬場であることも含め、前々で競馬が出来る瞬発力に富んだ馬にとってはレースがしやすい。
また、たとえスローに流れたとしても、この時期の3歳馬にとって、京都の外回りマイル戦は厳しいレースであることに変わりはない。よって、1600mの距離を走ったことのない馬にとっては苦しいレースとなることは避けられない。ちなみに、連対馬20頭中19頭に1600m以上の出走経験があった。
■素質馬が集まるジョッキーに変化あり
武豊騎手が過去11年で5勝と圧倒的な勝率を誇っている。平成19年も武豊騎手から岩田騎手に乗り替わったもののアドマイヤオーラが勝ったように、武豊騎手にこの時期の素質馬が集まりやすいことが考えられる。ただし、昨年も岩田康誠騎手と安藤勝己騎手のワンツーで決まったように、その流れも一昨年あたりから少しずつ変わってきている。もう少し生々しく言うと、各陣営の武豊離れが進んできている(武豊騎手一辺倒ではなくなってきている)。
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