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フェブラリーSを当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

Feb

■1■スピードが求められる
平成14年以降、アグネスデジタル(マイルCS、天皇賞秋、安田記念など)、ゴールドアリュール(ダービー5着)、アドマイヤドン(朝日杯フューチュリティS、菊花賞4着)、メイショウボーラー(皐月賞3着、NHKマイルC3着)など、芝コースで実績のある馬の活躍が目立っている。2着馬に目を移しても、平成16年のサイレントディールはシンザン記念を制していて、平成17年のシーキングザダイヤはニュージーランドTを勝っている。ここ数年で、芝のG1戦線でも十分に勝ち負けになる実力馬の参戦、もしくは転戦により、フェブラリーSの勢力図が変化してきていることは見逃せない。

なぜ芝コースで実績のある馬が、畑違いのダートG1レースでも同じような走りを見せることができるのだろうか。もちろん、芝コースで実績のある馬は能力自体が高いのだが、それ以外の理由として以下の2つが挙げられる。

1)東京ダート1600mのコースは、スタート直後に80mほど芝コースを走るから
2)1分35秒台で決着することが多く、スピードが求められるから

1)のスタート直後の芝コースは、確かに東京ダート1600mコース独特のものである。スタート直後80mの芝部分を利して、芝実績のある馬が先手を取って流れに乗ることが出来るということである。しかし、わずかスタート直後80mの芝部分がレースの勝敗を左右するとは思えない。とすると、2)のスピードが求められるという理由の方が大きいのではないだろうか。

東京競馬場のダートコースは砂が浅いため、冬場の時期でも、それほど力のいる馬場にはならない。平成10年は勝ち時計が1分37秒5と、非常に力の必要とされる馬場であったが、さまざまな原因が重なって起こった例外的なものと考えていいだろう。

標準的な馬場であれば、オープンクラスだとマイルで1分35秒台での決着となる。これくらいの馬場状態だと、ダート戦といってもスピードがないと勝負にならず、パワーだけで勝負する生粋のダート馬にとっては苦しいレースになるだろう。スピードの絶対値が高い馬、つまり芝コースでの実績馬が活躍するのは当然といえば当然の結果である。


■2■4、5歳馬が中心
4歳   【4-6-1-36】
5歳   【6-2-3-29】
6歳   【2-1-6-49】
7歳以上【0-3-2-41】

過去12年の年齢別の成績を見てみると、4、5歳馬から勝ち馬が10頭と、若い世代が高齢馬を圧倒している。ダートは馬が痛まないので高齢まで長く好走できるのだが、極限のスピード能力が要求されるフェブラリーSでは、スピード能力の落ちてきた高齢馬のゴマカシが利かず、ある意味において篩(ふるい)に掛けられてしまうのである。

■3■1600m以上のスタミナが求められる
スタートしてから第1コーナーまでの距離が長いため、息の入らない激しい流れになることが多い。そのため、スピードだけではなく、最後の直線でバテずに踏ん張ることのできるスタミナも必要とされる。1600mという数字以上のスタミナを要求されるのは、過去の勝ち馬を見ても明らかである。前述したスピードと、それを持続するスタミナ、そのどちらを欠いてもフェブラリーステークスを制することはできない。

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