キーンランドCを当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

■1■牝馬の活躍
昨年こそ違え、第1回、2回では牝馬が上位(ワンツー)を独占した。牡馬の【1・1・2・25】に対し、牝馬は【2・2・1・10】と連対率にしておよそ20%の差が生じている。ゴール前直線が平坦で266mと短く、平坦なコースであるため、一瞬の脚を要求される軽いレースになり、牝馬にとっては有利なレースになる。ただし、今年は11週目の開催となり、馬場が重くなってきているはずで、その分、パワータイプの牡馬にとっても有利になるかもしれない。
■2■外枠が有利
札幌競馬場の1200m戦は、向こう正面を延長したポケットからのスタート。最初のコーナー(3コーナー)までの距離は406mと長く、オープン以上のクラスであればペースは速くなりがち。そして、3~4コーナーは緩やかなスパイラルコースであるため、ここで差を詰めるのは難しく、勝つためには4コーナーである程度の位置にいなければならない。11週目ということも考慮に入れると、馬場が荒れておらず、スムーズにレースが運べる分、若干外枠が有利か。
■3■前に行くことのできる差し馬
重賞に格上げされてからの3年のラップタイムは以下のとおり。
12.1-10.4-11.0-11.5-11.6-11.8(33.5-34.9)H
12.0-10.7-11.2-11.3-11.4-12.0(33.9-34.7)M
12.1-10.6-11.2-11.3-11.0-11.7(33.9-34.0)M
格上げ以前は、逃げ・先行抜け出しが決まり手のほとんどであったが、クラスが上がるやいなや、多頭数になったことで道中のペースが上がり、ようやく差しが決まった。しかし、その後の2年間はミドルペースに終わっているように、3~4コーナーで動きづらいこともあって、本質的には逃げ、先行馬に有利なコースである。一瞬の脚が問われることも含め、このレースに関してはある程度前に行くことの出来る差し馬を狙ってみるのも面白い。
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