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エリザベス女王杯を当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

Elizabeth

■世代交代について
エリザベス女王杯において、世代交代の問題は避けて通れない。一般的に、牝馬は牡馬に比べ、現役の競走馬として活躍できる期間が短いとされる。それは牝馬には血を繋ぐという役割があるからであって、肉体的そして精神的にも競走馬から繁殖牝馬へと変遷していく時期が自然とあるからだ。

ダイイチルビーは4歳時にスプリンターズステークスを制したが、5歳となった翌年は目を覆いたくなるような惨敗を繰り返しそのまま引退していった。その時に、伊藤雄二調教師が言った、「ルビーはもうお母さんの目になっているね」というセリフが印象的であった。肉体的には走れる状態にあったが、精神的にはレースを走り抜くだけの闘争心がすでに失われていたのであろう。

もちろん、馬それぞれにおいてピークは異なってくるので、この年齢以上では走れないというような線引きはできない。ただし、あと2ヶ月も経てばもう6歳馬となってしまう5歳の秋は、牝馬にとって非常に微妙な時期なのではないだろうか。明日にでも、まるで坂を転げ落ちるように競走馬としての能力が衰えてしまう、ギリギリのラインに立っているのである。

衰えゆく5歳馬から、充実の4歳馬、そして更なる上昇が期待される3歳馬への世代交代というクロスオーバーが行われるのがこのエリザベス女王杯である。平成12年から秋華賞が1週間繰り上げられ、エリザベス女王杯までが中3週となった。これにより勢いのある3歳馬の挑戦も増えることからも、5歳馬にとってはさらなる苦戦を強いられることになるであろう。

■スピードと器用さが求められる
エリザベス女王杯が行われる時期の京都競馬場の芝は、野芝の成長は止まるものの、状態が良いため、軽さは十分に維持されている。そのため、スッと先手を取ることの出来るスピードのある馬にとっては有利に進められるレースとなる。また、道中は各馬が距離を意識してスローに流れることが多いが、前半から飛ばす馬がいて意外にペースが速くなったりすることもあり、折り合いがキチンと付いて、器用に立ち回ることが出来るかも問われる。もちろん、こういうレースでは、馬をコントロールする騎手の技術、判断力も結果を大きく左右することになる。

■牡馬と勝負になっていた馬でないと×
牝馬の中でチャンピオンを決める戦いではあるが、牝馬限定戦でずっと戦ってきたような馬では、このレースは勝てない。牡馬との厳しいレースで揉まれ、牡馬を相手に好勝負になっていた馬を狙うべきである。もちろん3歳馬については、牡馬混合戦に出る機会もなかっただろうから、この条件は当てはまらない。

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