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◎マイネルファルケ

Jiromaru

前回の手紙では、私の中では最高のマイラーであるトロットサンダーについて書きましたが、実は今年のマイルCSで1番人気に推されているカンパニーとの共通点が2つあります。ひとつは、もちろん鞍上が横山典弘騎手ということです。馬から切れ味を引き出すことにかけては、右に出る騎手はいないでしょう。もうひとつは、高齢になるまで活躍したという点です。トロットサンダーは6歳時にマイルCSを制し、7歳で安田記念を勝ちました。当時は今と比べると高齢馬の活躍は少なく、まさに遅咲きのマイラーと呼ばれるに相応しい馬でした。

さて、今年のマイルCSの最大の焦点は、天皇賞秋を制したカンパニーのもう一丁があるかどうかということでしょう。結論から言うと、天皇賞秋を勝った馬がマイルCSに出走してくれば、間違いなく好勝負になりますし、かなりの確率で勝てるはずです。

天皇賞秋を勝った馬がマイルCSに出走してくるケースは意外や少なく、2006年のダイワメジャーの前はと言えば、1987年のニッポーテイオーにまで遡らなければなりません。天皇賞秋の勝ち馬のほとんどは、ジャパンカップや有馬記念に挑戦するからです。天皇賞秋を勝ったということは、スピードとスタミナを最高の次元で兼備していることを意味します。そういった馬がマイルCSに矛先を向けてきた以上、紛れの少ない京都のマイル戦ということもあり、ほぼ確勝を期しているということになります。もちろん、ニッポーテイオーもダイワメジャーもマイルCSを制しています。

唯一の心配材料は、マイル戦に対する適性です。マイル戦の連対率が5割を切っているように、この馬は決してマイラーではなく、中距離で瞬発力を生かすタイプです。マイルがドンピシャではない以上、たとえ総合力が一枚も二枚も上だとしても、足元をすくわれてしまう可能性もあるということです。外枠だった昨年と違い、内でジッとしていれば良い好枠を引きましたので心配はないと思いますが、もしゴール前が混戦になったら冷や汗をかくかもしれませんね。

切れ味勝負には絶対の自信を持つカンパニーにひと泡吹かせるとすれば、マイル適性があって、かつ前に行けて粘り込める馬でしょう。◎マイネルファルケは外枠を引きましたが、京都1600m(外回り)は第1コーナーまでの直線が長いので、すんなり先頭を取れるのではないでしょうか。母はスプリンターであったビンゴハナコですが、この馬は地脚を活かせるマイル戦の方に適性があります。現にマイル戦の連対率は優に50%を超えています。休み明けを3回叩いて、体調も最高潮。逃げ先行馬に乗せると上手い和田騎手というのも魅力です。

現在のランキング順位はこちら

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Comments

治郎丸さん、こんにちは。

今週のマイルCSは、最強マイラー決定戦という雰囲気ではないので、少し淋しいですね。
◎はマルカシェンクにします。内枠からの死んだふりの一発を期待します。

〇はカンパニーです。天皇賞を勝ち切るくらいですから、外枠でもないので勝ち負けでしょう。
ただ、マイルはベストではないので、有終の美を飾れるかは少し疑問です。

あとは、ザレマ、スズカコーズウェイ、フィフスペトルあたりかなと思っています。
ウオッカの印象が強過ぎるせいか、マイル路線が意外と手薄でビックリででした。

Posted by: onion | November 22, 2009 at 02:42 PM

こんにちは。先週は驚きましたね…
いろいろな縛りが働いてああいう風になるのですから
競馬も難しいですね。
そしてマイルCS。
これも難しいですね。天皇賞に比べるとかなり混戦。
本命はキャプテントゥーレにしました。
なんといっても日本のG1馬がカンパニーとこの馬しかいませんし、
カンパニーは買いどきは前走だったような気が…
距離短縮もいいですし、狙ってみます。
以下は時間がないので簡単に。
○ザレマ
▲サンカルロ
△スズカコーズウェイ
 フィフスペトル 
 マルカシェンク
 アブソリュート
☆ファイングレイン  
 マイネルファルケ
多くなりましたが気楽にいきます。

Posted by: keigo | November 22, 2009 at 02:52 PM

獲ったあああああああああ!!!
治郎丸サンクス!!!!!

Posted by: 冷や飯 | November 22, 2009 at 03:54 PM

次郎丸さん、初めまして、今晩は! 初コメですが、何時も読ませて頂いてます。 ずばり、嵌りましたね! 僕も気になって買い目に加えた次第です。馬連、ワイドは一点で獲りました!!! 3連複は、後から追加したんですよね^^  馬連に関しては、口座に500円だけ残すのもなんだなって・・・(笑) 有難う御座いました!!!

Posted by: hilux-1994 | November 22, 2009 at 05:14 PM

onionさん

こんばんは。

カンパニーが見事に有終の美を飾りましたね。

これまで人気にならなかった馬だけに、
最後にこんなに人気になって複雑な想いだったのではないでしょうか。

それにしても、この馬にも色々なことを教えられた気がします。

天皇賞秋を勝ったような馬ですからね。

ゴール前の余裕を見るにつけ、これで引退というのが勿体ない気もします。

Posted by: 治郎丸敬之 | November 23, 2009 at 01:24 AM

keigoさん

こんばんは。

カンパニーが見事に有終の美を飾りましたね。

おっしゃる通り、このレースにおけるG1馬2頭の1頭でした。

もしかしたらkeigoもカンパニーからマイネルファルヶで拾ったのですかね。

ずいぶん遅いペースになって、前に行った馬にとって有利な展開になりましたね。

私は今回は気楽に攻めて最高の結果となりました。

Posted by: 治郎丸敬之 | November 23, 2009 at 01:27 AM

冷や飯さん

獲ったのかあああああああああ!!!

こういう形でプレゼント出来て嬉しいよ!

Posted by: 治郎丸敬之 | November 23, 2009 at 01:28 AM

hilux-1994さん

的中おめでとうございます。

お互いに快勝だったようですね。

マイネルファルケが頭だったら最高でしたが…

勝ち馬はガラスのパドックに任せてと気楽な気持ちで◎を打ったのが良かったのでしょう(笑)。

今回はスローに流れて、前に行った馬は展開に恵まれましたね。

まさに運よくハマリました。

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