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秋のG1戦線を占なう(牡馬クラシック路線)

Akinog1sensenwo06最後にクラシック牡馬路線について。皐月賞馬ゴールドシップや日本ダービー馬ディープブリランテよりも先に、春は無冠で終わったワールドエースを取り上げたい。なぜなら、秋こそは、この馬の本領が発揮されると思うからだ。春は能力を出し切っていないかというと、決してそうではない。むしろ春時点での能力を出し切って、あの結果(皐月賞2着、ダービー4着)だったと思う。展開に関して言えば、皐月賞は恵まれたし、ダービーは恵まれなかった。いずれにせよ勝ち切れなかったのは、この馬の春時点での力が足りなかったからである。

「週刊競馬ブック」の写真を見て、夏を越して、肉体的に成長を遂げていることを確認した。春時点では完成度が低く、幼さを感じさせていた馬体は立派に成長し、つくべきところに筋肉がついてきている。後躯の推進力が増して、もう少し前に行って自分でレースを作れるように、もしくは父ディープインパクトのように4角で一気にマクっていけるようになれば、この馬の強烈な末脚を安定して繰り出せる。唯一の心配は、菊花賞の距離3000mだろうか。どちらかというとスピードに長けた馬ではあるが、典型的なステイヤーに足元をすくわれなければ、能力の違いで菊花賞を制するチャンスは十分にある。

典型的なステイヤーとして現時点で思いつくのは、皐月賞馬のゴールドシップである。皐月賞はあらゆる全てが上手くハマって勝つことができたが、本質的にはステイヤーだろう。ダービーのような上がりの速い、高速馬場での勝負になってしまうと厳しいが、菊花賞の舞台は最適だろう。前半は後ろからゆっくりとついて行き、後半1000mあたりからマクりをかけてゆく走りは、菊花賞の勝ちパターンである。内田博幸騎手がオウケンブルースリで勝利したときのように、菊花賞もゴールドシップを導いてくれるだろう。

ダービー2着馬のフェノーメノも広々とした京都競馬場は望むところだろう。血統やフットワークの大きさからも、3000mの距離に不安は全くなく、折り合いのつく気性からはむしろプラスかもしれない。とにかく不器用な馬で、小回りコースは向かないことが分かったので、陣営もそのようなローテーションを組んでくるはず。神戸新聞杯→菊花賞→ジャパンカップが、この馬にとっては理想的である。そうなると、初の長距離輸送がどう出るかが当面の心配材料となる。

トーセンホマレボシはダービーでスピードとスタミナの絶対値を証明した。高速馬場だったとはいえ、あれだけ早めに動いて、最後まで粘り切ったスタミナは衝撃的であった。速い脚はないタイプであり、距離延長自体は望むところだろう。中間の調整遅れが心配されているように、あとは菊花賞に無事に出走できるかどうか。キングカメハメハが勝った年のダービーがそうであったように、スピード決着の厳しいダービーのあとは、体を壊してしまう馬も多い。

ディープブリランテはそのダービー後にイギリスに遠征したのだから、秋のレースうんぬんより、まずは肉体的、精神的な疲れを癒してほしい。体型的にも、距離が延びて良さが出る馬ではないので、もし間に合ったとしても菊花賞や有馬記念は不向きである。天皇賞秋には到底間に合わないだろうから、思い切って秋は全休にしてはどうだろうか。それぐらいしないと、ディープブリランテがまともな状態でターフに復帰するのは難しいと思う。

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Comments

 こんばんは この馬たちに感じること・・・ソエはなかったのだろうか?うちの馬なんて「ソエ放牧」とか「ショックウエーブ療法」とかばかりです(笑)。

 ワールドエースは、「いかにもまだ未完成」という状態で走っていましたね。本当によくなってくれていることを期待しています。だからこその命名なのでしょう。

 ゴールドシップは息の入る距離・コースで高速決着にならなければいいですね。菊花賞はいいのでは・・・。

 フェノーメノはダービー前後の激戦の疲れが取れているか・・・来年の2400m(G2)では主役を張れるかな?

 トーセンホマレボシは坂もこなせる様子。まずはレース経験・・・中山コースでねらってみたい馬です。

 ディープブリランテはどこを目指すのでしょう?2400mより2000mの方かなと思いました。天皇賞には間に合わないでしょうか。


 2000mのG2って、多いようでいてそれほどでもない。逆に、2200~2500mのG2が多すぎるように感じます。

Posted by: 玉ちゃん | August 30, 2012 at 12:39 AM

玉ちゃん

ワールドエースは残念なことになってしまいました。

おそらくこの馬たちも満身創痍で戦ってきたのだと思います。

それであの高速決着ですから、ワールドエースのように体ができていなかった馬にとっては反動が大きいですよね。

今年のダービーを経て、さらに強くなる馬は多いと思いますが、それと同じぐらい潰れてしまう馬もいる気がします。

1頭でも多くの馬たちが、再びターフに姿を現すことを願いたいですね。

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