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秋のG1戦線を占なう(古馬中長距離路線)

Akinog1sensenwo03_3中距離~長距離路線も面白い。オルフェーヴルの出方次第ではあるが、G1のタイトルを獲れそうな馬が他にも多い。その筆頭はルーラーシップである。今春には香港のクイーンエリザベスCを制し、返す刀で宝塚記念でもオルフェーヴルの2着と完全に本格化した。宝塚記念はやや調子落ちで臨んでおり、完調であれば、オルフェーヴルと互角に渡り合える力をつけている。それだけに、どのレースに照準を絞ってくるかが最大のポイントとなる。

天皇賞秋ならば毎日王冠をステップレースとして使ってくるはずだし、ジャパンカップならば天皇賞秋ぶっつけで使ってくるはず。角居調教師は後者を選択するのではないだろうか。その方が余裕を持って仕上げやすい。また、オルフェーヴルが凱旋門賞に出走する以上、もしジャパンカップに使ってきたとしても100%の出来には持ってこられないことを経験上知っているからだ。賞金やローテーション、そして相手関係を考えると、ジャパンカップを最大の目標に据えるのが得策である。もちろん、サラブレッドは生きものなので、ルーラーシップ自身の体調のバイオリズムに合わせて、その都度、予定を変更していくというのが正直なところではある。ルーラーシップにはぶっつけの天皇賞秋でも勝てる力はあるし、100%に仕上がったジャパンカップは限りなく勝利に近いだろう。有馬記念では、余力が残っていれば、2、3着には食い込めるかもしれない。それぐらい計算ができる馬に成長した。

春は伏兵馬であったショウナンマイティも、夏を越しての成長があれば、秋は中心馬として活躍できる。春は末脚一辺倒の競馬で、勝ったり負けたりを繰り返していたように、自分の型にハマれば強い馬であった。宝塚記念では自分の型を貫いたことで3着を確保したが、そのスタイルのままではG1レースで通用しない、というか、どうしても成績にムラが出てしまう。もうひとつ上を目指すのであれば、肉体面をさらに強化して、自然と前に行ける(先行できる)ようになるべきだ。そうなれば、この馬の末脚が安定して生かせるし、自分でレースを作れることで勝ちにいける。2000mぐらいがベストな馬だけに、狙いは天皇賞秋だろう。

もう1頭注目しておきたいのは、ダンスパートナーの仔であるフェデラリスト。昨年の秋から4連勝して、春はG1レースを前にして体調のピークが過ぎてしまった感はあったが、その能力はG1クラスである。特に中山記念は強いレースであった。切れ味勝負になりがちなジャパンカップよりは、天皇賞秋か有馬記念といったパワーが問われる舞台の方が、この馬の良さが生きるだろう。有馬記念ではオルフェーヴルが走ってくる可能性が高いので、今の時点で目標に定めるとすれば、やはり天皇賞秋ということになる。順調に本番前にひと叩きできれば楽しみな馬である。

マイル戦線のエントリーで触れるのを忘れていたが、3歳馬のカレンブラックヒルは未知の力を秘めた馬である。天皇賞秋を目指すとのことなので、毎日王冠をステップレースとして、早い段階で古馬との対決となる。直線の長い府中のNHKマイルCを逃げ切った馬であり、2000mまでこなせるスタミナはある。ただし、今年のNHKマイルCは例外的にペースが遅く、カレンブラックヒルにとってはかなり有利な展開になっただけに、過信は禁物だろう。古馬と戦う中で、厳しいレースを強いられたときに、初めてこの馬の真価が問われることになる。

オルフェーヴルについては、その後のレースのことなど考えず、とにかく凱旋門賞をピークの出来に仕上げて出走させてほしい。宝塚記念から僅か3ヶ月の期間ではなかなか難しいだろうが、ステップレースを使って、走られる状態にうまく仕上がれば、チャンスは十分にあるはず。スミヨン騎手には、安全に外を回るのではなく、馬群の内で脚を溜めて、最後の直線で爆発させるレースをしてもらいたい。この馬と凱旋門賞について妄想を語り出すと止まらなくなるので、このあたりでやめておく(笑)。

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Comments

 おはようございます。昨年からのG2成績を見る限り、この路線は有力クラブの使い分けに注目ですね。G2での激突は避け、有馬記念で一同に会するのではないでしょうか。
 オルフェーブルが凱旋門賞に行っている間に天皇賞は行われます。種牡馬入りのためにこれから取らせたい馬は?
 有利不利のない新潟2000mで見てみたいですね(笑)。
 ルーラーシップ(サンデー)
 トゥザグローリー(キャロット)
 オルフェーブル(サンデー)
 ローズキングダム(サンデー)
 ディープブリランテ(サンデー)

 

Posted by: 玉ちゃん | August 19, 2012 at 06:25 AM

玉ちゃん

新潟芝2000mで行なわれたら、
映像的にも面白いでしょうね(笑)

順調に行けば、ルーラーシップなのでしょうが、
競馬は生ものですから何が起こるか分かりませんからね。

トゥザグローリーなんか種牡馬としては成功しそうな馬なので、ぜひともG1をひとつでも勝たせてあげたいところですが。

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