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新潟2歳Sを当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

Niigata2sais

■1■早熟のマイラーを狙え
マイル戦で行われるようになった過去10年の勝ち馬をみると、朝日杯フューチュリティSの勝ち馬が2頭(マイネルレコルト、セイウンワンダー)出ていることが分かる。G1馬を2頭も出しているのだから、新潟2歳Sも十分な出世レースといえるのだが、どうにもスケールの小ささは否めない。ジャングルポケット、アドマイヤムーン、ロジユニヴァースを出した札幌2歳Sと比べ、わずか200mの距離の違いにもかかわらず、この隔たりはなんだろうか。

気候などの環境が良い札幌には、素質馬やトップジョッキーが集まりやすいという事情はさておき、新潟2歳Sに出走する馬はマイルがドンピシャであることが多い。野芝がびっしりと生え揃った新潟の馬場は、札幌競馬場の洋芝に比べると、圧倒的に軽くて走りやすい。驚くべき好タイムが出るのはそれゆえである。同じ距離を走ったとしても、野芝と洋芝の馬場では要求されるスタミナが違ってくるのだ。

そうは言っても、新潟競馬場の1600mコースは外回りで最後の直線が659mと長く、単なるスピード馬では乗り切れない。ゴールまでスピードを持続させるスタミナが必要とされるのだ。さらに、この時期の完成度も高くなければならない。つまり、簡単に言うと、新潟2歳Sは早熟のマイラーを狙えということである。

■2■牡馬と牝馬は互角
前述したとおり、新潟競馬場1600mコースは外回りで最後の直線が長く、ごまかしの利かないフェアなコースである。コーナーリングの器用さや一瞬の脚だけでは勝ち切れない。最後は激しい叩き合いと追い比べになることだろう。そういった意味でも、牝馬よりも牡馬にやや分があると言ってよいが、過去9年の勝ち馬を見てみても、牡馬の5勝に対し牝馬は4勝と、案外、牝馬も牡馬と互角に戦っている。タフなレースにはなるが、直線が平坦であることからも、非力な牝馬でもパワー不足に泣くことはない。

■3■直線は外に出す
スタートから最初のコーナーまでの距離が長く、コーナーも2つしかないコース形態のため、枠順による有利不利はほとんどないと考えてよい。コーナーの回りがきついことを考慮すると、外枠で外を回されるよりも内の方が良いことは確かだが絶対条件でもない。ジョッキーの腕でいくらでもカバーできる部分である。

しかし、直線では外に出した馬の方が伸びる。いくら絶好の野芝とはいえ、最終週であることは確かなので、使い込まれて傷んだ内よりも外の方が走りやすい。また、直線を走る距離が長いので、その分、良いところを走られる馬とそうでない馬との差が出てしまうのである。まとめると、道中は内を走りながら、直線では外に出して走られる馬が狙い目である。

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Comments

 こんばんは このレースはパドックから競馬場で見ていましたが、もう分かんないです。新聞の印とは別に3番のトーセンもよく見えたので、本場場入場の後に買いに行きました。そしたら出遅れてチン。
 もっとも4/5の確率をはずしたロードシュプリームが一番強いと思っていましたから(苦笑)。

 野芝がびっしりと生え揃った新潟の馬場

 今日はとなりに座った方が、臨時でこの整備に携わったことのある方でした。テレビで何人もコースに出て芝を直している様子が映りますよね。
 大きな穴が開いているところに砂を入れて、穴を埋めるのだそうです。ダートコースの砂を使うのかと思ったら、朝のうちに一輪車で運んでおくのだとか。レースの合間に15分ずつしかできません。それでも暑くてたいへんだそうです。
 外回り・内回りとも4コーナーのカーブの終わりはすごく痛んでしまうとのこと。ていねいに補修をされておられます。

 多くの方の手間がかかって安全に公正に競馬が挙行されています。馬券購入で感謝の意を表すことが一番ですね(笑)。
 

 

Posted by: 玉ちゃん | August 26, 2012 at 11:11 PM

玉ちゃん

こんにちは。

馬場の公平は、関係者にとっても、馬券を買う私たちにとっても、重要なことですね。

ひと昔前に比べても、トラックバイアスが少なくなった気がします。

トラックバイアスがある競馬もたまには面白かったりするのですが(笑)

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