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2014年のクラシック路線を占なってみる(牝馬編)

Classic2014f

続いて牝馬のクラシック戦線を占いたい。今年は牡馬よりも牝馬の方が簡単である。なぜかというと、朝日杯フューチュリティSとラジオNIKKEI杯2歳Sと分かれてしまう牡馬路線よりも、阪神ジュベナイルFへと一本化されている牝馬路線は力関係が分かりやすく、さらに今年は阪神ジュベナイルFの上位組の力が抜けているからだ。特に、レッドリヴェールとハープスターの力は圧倒的であり、それに続くフォーエバーモアーも相当に強いはず。そして何よりも3頭共にクラシック血統であるというおまけつきである。

まずは阪神ジュベナイルFを勝利したレッドリヴェールについて。この馬に関しては、阪神ジュベナイルFの前にも書いたとおり、新馬戦で上がり3ハロン33秒3、続くG3レースの札幌2歳Sで上がり3ハロン41秒3という、全く異なる資質が要求される2つのレースを連勝したことだけで、この馬の凄さが手に取るように分かる。しかも阪神競馬場と札幌競馬場の異なる環境で、2戦目は牡馬を相手に力の要る馬場を楽勝したのだ。父ステイゴールドも心強い。ここから成長していくことが見込まれるだけではなく、距離が延びてさらに良さが出るはず。

唯一の心配材料は馬体重である。ステイゴールド産駒の牝馬が意外にも走らないのは、精神面の繊細さや気性の激しさから、飼い葉を食べなくなって、やせ細ってしまう牝馬が多いからだ。体が小さいのは能力でカバーできるが、あまりにも飼い葉を食べないと、調教で負荷を掛けづらくなる。思い切った調教をしても飼い葉をしっかり食べてくれるようでないと、さすがにG1戦線を勝ち抜くのは難しくなる。幸いにして、レッドリヴェールは素直そうな顔つきからも、それほど気性が難しいタイプではないだろうから、そこさえクリアできれば将来は明るい。

ハープスターは切れ味を生かすタイプの牝馬で、レッドリヴェールとはまた強さが異なる。新潟2歳Sがあまりにも強い(強く見える)勝ち方だったので過剰人気してしまったが、阪神ジュベナイルFの着差が一線級に入っての力関係である。つまり、この馬だけが抜けて強いということではなく、これからの成長力やレースの仕方によって、クラシックを勝つチャンスがあるということだ。でぃぷインパクト産駒は春のクラシックの入り口に向けて、グッと成長する傾向が強いので、この馬も休養を挟みながら上手く成長を促すことができれば、ステップレースを叩いて、ちょうど本番の桜花賞ぐらいで頭ひとつ抜け出す馬になるかもしれない。レースの仕方としては、好位を取りに行くのではなく、この馬のリズムで後方からポツンと運んで、直線の脚に賭けるレースがベストだろう。そうすることで、肉体的にも精神的にも、この馬の一瞬の切れ味を生かすことができるはず。

フォーエバーモアは見た目以上に強い馬なのだろう。手脚が長いのは父ネオユニヴァース産駒の特徴だが、まだ馬体自体も顕著で、阪神ジュベナイルFの好走は驚きであった。あの時点での馬体の完成度であそこまで走ったのだから、走る素質は2頭に匹敵するか、もしかするとそれ以上の器なのかもしれない。スタミナのありそうな馬体と成長力や将来性を含めて考えると、桜花賞というよりはオークスで真価を発揮しそうな馬である。関東馬ということも輸送のハンデがない分、オークスこそが狙い目か。

Photo by M.H

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Comments

 こんばんは
 強い牝馬…なぁでもハープスターがすばらしいと思います。レッドリヴェールも距離は大丈夫…馬体の成長を促したいところですね。

 他の馬は…新しい馬たちの台頭があるのでは?

Posted by: 玉ちゃん | January 11, 2014 at 05:14 PM

玉ちゃんへ

他の馬たちの台頭もあると思いますが、上位3頭は強そうですね。

昨年と違うのは、ディープインパクト産駒、ステイゴールド産駒、ネオユニヴァース産駒とクラシック血統が揃っているということでしょうか。

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