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シンザン記念を当てるために知っておくべき3つのこと

Sinzankinen

■1■朝日杯フューチュリティS好走組優位
この時期に行われる3歳重賞ということもあって、朝日杯フューチュリティSで結果を出せなかった居残り組みと、これから上を目指す素質馬のぶつかり合いという図式となる。過去11年の戦績から見ると、完成度が高い朝日杯フューチュリティS組が6勝と有利で、特に朝日杯フューチュリティSで好勝負していた馬が順調に出走してくれば、ほぼ間違いなく勝ち負けになる。

■2■前々で競馬が出来る瞬発力に富んだ馬
同じ時期の同条件で行われる京都金杯と比べ、頭数が少なくなることもあって、ペースはスローに落ちることが多い。開幕2週目で前が止まりにくい馬場であることも含め、前々で競馬が出来る瞬発力に富んだ馬にとってはレースがしやすい。

また、この時期の3歳馬にとって、京都の外回りマイル戦は厳しいレースである。よって、1600mの距離を走ったことのない馬にとっては苦しいレースとなることは避けられない。ちなみに、連対馬22頭中21頭に1600m以上の出走経験があった。

■3■素質馬が集まるジョッキーに変化あり
武豊騎手が1997年から2006年までの10年間で6勝と圧倒的な勝率を誇っていた。2007年も武豊騎手から岩田騎手に乗り替わったもののアドマイヤオーラが勝ったように、武豊騎手にこの時期の素質馬が集まりやすかったと考えられる。しかし、2007年、2008年と岩田康誠騎手と安藤勝己騎手のワンツーが連続したように、その流れも7年前あたりから少しずつ変わってきている。もう少し生々しく言うと、各陣営の武豊離れが進んできている(武豊騎手一辺倒ではなくなってきているということ)。ここ最近で勢いのあるジョッキーに乗ってみるのもひとつの手かもしれない。

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